Politics - what I see and what I do not understand: 20/12/11

Tuesday, December 20, 2011

RealClearPolitics Poll Averages

President Obama Job Approval

Poll	Date	Sample	Approve	Disapprove	Spread
RCP Average	12/8 - 12/18	--	45.8	50.0	-4.2
Gallup	12/16 - 12/18	1500 A	42	50	-8
Rasmussen Reports	12/16 - 12/18	1500 LV	47	51	-4
ABC News/Wash Post	12/15 - 12/18	1005 A	49	47	+2
Associated Press/GfK	12/8 - 12/12	1000 A	44	54	-10
Reuters/Ipsos	12/8 - 12/12	1102 A	47	48	-1

Congressional Job Approval

Poll	Date	Approve	Disapprove	Spread
RCP Average	12/5 - 12/18	11.3	83.7	-72.4
Gallup	12/15 - 12/18	11	86	-75
CBS News	12/5 - 12/7	11	82	-71
FOX News	12/5 - 12/7	12	83	-71

Direction of Country

Poll	Date	Right Direction	Wrong Track	Spread
RCP Average	12/5 - 12/12	23.0	71.2	-48.2
Associated Press/GfK	12/8 - 12/12	26	70	-44
Reuters/Ipsos	12/8 - 12/12	27	69	-42
Rasmussen Reports	12/5 - 12/11	19	73	-54
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl	12/7 - 12/11	22	69	-47
CBS News	12/5 - 12/7	21	75	-54

President Obama vs. Republican Candidate

Polling Data

Poll	Date	Sample	Republican (R)	Obama (D)	Spread
RCP Average	11/3 - 12/11	--	44.3	42.8	Republican +1.5
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl	12/7 - 12/11	RV	45	43	Republican +2
Rasmussen Reports	12/5 - 12/11	3500 LV	47	42	Republican +5
Politico/GWU/Battleground	11/6 - 11/9	1000 LV	43	43	Tie
Gallup	11/3 - 11/6	889 RV	42	43	Obama +1

See All President Obama vs. Republican Candidate Polling Data

President Obama vs. Republican Candidates

General Election: Romney vs. Obama

Poll	Date	Sample	Obama (D)	Romney (R)	Spread
RCP Average	12/5 - 12/18	--	46.4	44.4	Obama +2.0
ABC News/Wash Post	12/15 - 12/18	RV	47	47	Tie
USA Today/Gallup	12/15 - 12/18	898 RV	50	48	Obama +2
Rasmussen Reports	12/14 - 12/15	1000 LV	42	43	Romney +1
Reuters/Ipsos	12/8 - 12/12	900 RV	48	40	Obama +8
Associated Press/GfK	12/8 - 12/12	1000 A	47	46	Obama +1
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl	12/7 - 12/11	RV	47	45	Obama +2
FOX News	12/5 - 12/7	911 RV	44	42	Obama +2

General Election: Gingrich vs. Obama

Poll	Date	Sample	Obama (D)	Gingrich (R)	Spread
RCP Average	12/5 - 12/19	--	49.7	41.1	Obama +8.6
Rasmussen Reports	12/18 - 12/19	1000 LV	48	37	Obama +11
ABC News/Wash Post	12/15 - 12/18	RV	51	43	Obama +8
USA Today/Gallup	12/15 - 12/18	898 RV	50	48	Obama +2
Reuters/Ipsos	12/8 - 12/12	900 RV	51	38	Obama +13
Associated Press/GfK	12/8 - 12/12	1000 A	51	42	Obama +9
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl	12/7 - 12/11	RV	51	40	Obama +11
FOX News	12/5 - 12/7	911 RV	46	40	Obama +6

General Election: Perry vs. Obama

Poll	Date	Sample	Obama (D)	Perry (R)	Spread
RCP Average	11/8 - 12/12	--	50.2	39.5	Obama +10.7
Reuters/Ipsos	12/8 - 12/12	900 RV	50	37	Obama +13
Rasmussen Reports	12/4 - 12/5	1000 LV	46	34	Obama +12
CNN/Opinion Research	11/11 - 11/13	925 RV	52	45	Obama +7
PPP (D)	11/10 - 11/13	800 RV	49	39	Obama +10
Pew Research	11/9 - 11/14	1576 RV	53	42	Obama +11
McClatchy/Marist	11/8 - 11/10	872 RV	51	40	Obama +11

General Election: Paul vs. Obama

Poll	Date	Sample	Obama (D)	Paul (R)	Spread
RCP Average	11/8 - 12/18	--	47.6	39.6	Obama +8.0
ABC News/Wash Post	12/15 - 12/18	RV	49	44	Obama +5
Rasmussen Reports	12/10 - 12/11	1000 LV	43	35	Obama +8
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl	12/7 - 12/11	RV	50	37	Obama +13
PPP (D)	11/10 - 11/13	800 RV	47	41	Obama +6
McClatchy/Marist	11/8 - 11/10	872 RV	49	41	Obama +8

General Election: Bachmann vs. Obama

Poll	Date	Sample	Obama (D)	Bachmann (R)	Spread
RCP Average	11/8 - 11/16	--	49.7	35.7	Obama +14.0
Rasmussen Reports	11/15 - 11/16	1000 LV	45	33	Obama +12
PPP (D)	11/10 - 11/13	800 RV	50	39	Obama +11
McClatchy/Marist	11/8 - 11/10	872 RV	54	35	Obama +19

General Election: Huntsman vs. Obama

Poll	Date	Sample	Obama (D)	Huntsman (R)	Spread
RCP Average	8/29 - 12/3	--	46.3	37.7	Obama +8.6
Rasmussen Reports	12/2 - 12/3	1000 LV	41	34	Obama +7
Reuters/Ipsos	9/8 - 9/12	932 RV	51	37	Obama +14
ABC News/Wash Post	8/29 - 9/1	RV	47	42	Obama +5

General Election: Santorum vs. Obama

Poll	Date	Sample	Obama (D)	Santorum (R)	Spread
Rasmussen Reports	12/16 - 12/17	1000 LV	47	37	Obama +10
Rasmussen Reports	10/2 - 10/3	1000 LV	45	34	Obama +11
Rasmussen Reports	7/10 - 7/11	1000 LV	45	31	Obama +14

New Hampshire Republican Presidential Primary

2008 New Hampshire Primary on December 20, 2007 | 2008 GOP New Hampshire Final RCP Average

Polling Data

Poll	Date	Sample	Romney	Gingrich	Paul	Huntsman	Bachmann	Santorum	Perry	Cain	Spread
RCP Average	12/10 - 12/18	--	33.8	20.8	16.5	11.8	3.8	2.5	1.8	--	Romney +13.0
PPP (D)	12/16 - 12/18	1235 LV	35	17	19	13	5	3	2	--	Romney +16
Insider Advantage	12/12 - 12/12	521 LV	29	24	21	11	4	2	1	--	Romney +5
Rasmussen Reports	12/12 - 12/12	721 LV	33	22	18	10	3	3	3	--	Romney +11
Suffolk/7News	12/10 - 12/13	400 LV	38	20	8	13	3	2	1	--	Romney +18

See All New Hampshire Republican Presidential Primary Polling Data

South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary

2008 South Carolina Primary on December 20, 2007 | 2008 GOP South Carolina Final RCP Average

Polling Data

Poll	Date	Sample	Gingrich	Romney	Paul	Bachmann	Perry	Santorum	Huntsman	Cain	Spread
RCP Average	11/29 - 12/19	--	38.5	20.8	8.0	6.5	6.3	3.0	2.8	--	Gingrich +17.7
Insider Advantage	12/18 - 12/18	736 LV	31	19	7	8	5	4	4	--	Gingrich +12
Clemson	12/6 - 12/19	600 LV	38	21	10	5	5	2	3	--	Gingrich +17
NBC News/Marist	12/4 - 12/6	635 LV	42	23	9	7	7	2	3	--	Gingrich +19
CNN/Time	11/29 - 12/6	510 LV	43	20	6	6	8	4	1	--	Gingrich +23

See All South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary Polling Data

Florida Republican Presidential Primary

2008 Florida Primary on December 20, 2007 | 2008 GOP Florida Final RCP Average

Polling Data

Poll	Date	Sample	Gingrich	Romney	Paul	Perry	Bachmann	Huntsman	Santorum	Cain	Spread
RCP Average	11/28 - 12/7	--	43.0	24.8	6.3	4.0	4.0	2.8	1.8	--	Gingrich +18.2
NBC News/Marist	12/4 - 12/7	469 LV	44	29	8	4	3	3	2	--	Gingrich +15
SurveyUSA	12/5 - 12/6	500 LV	45	23	4	5	6	3	2	--	Gingrich +22
CNN/Time	11/29 - 12/6	446 LV	48	25	5	3	3	3	1	--	Gingrich +23
Quinnipiac	11/28 - 12/5	509 RV	35	22	8	4	4	2	2	8	Gingrich +13

See All Florida Republican Presidential Primary Polling Data

2012 Republican Presidential Nomination

2008 GOP Race on December 19, 2007 | 2008 GOP Final RCP Average

Polling Data

Poll	Date	Sample	Gingrich	Romney	Paul	Bachmann	Perry	Santorum	Huntsman	Cain	Spread
RCP Average	12/8 - 12/18	--	28.8	24.3	11.5	8.5	8.0	3.8	2.8	--	Gingrich +4.5
CNN/Opinion Research	12/16 - 12/18	436 A	28	28	14	8	7	4	2	--	Tie
Gallup Tracking	12/13 - 12/18	1000 RV	26	24	11	7	7	4	2	--	Gingrich +2
Reuters/Ipsos	12/8 - 12/12	443 RV	28	18	12	10	12	4	5	--	Gingrich +10
Associated Press/GfK	12/8 - 12/12	460 A	33	27	9	9	6	3	2	--	Gingrich +6

See All 2012 Republican Presidential Nomination Polling Data

Iowa Republican Presidential Caucus

2008 Iowa Caucus on December 20, 2007 | 2008 GOP Iowa Final RCP Average

Polling Data

Poll	Date	Sample	Paul	Romney	Gingrich	Perry	Bachmann	Santorum	Huntsman	Cain	Spread
RCP Average	12/13 - 12/18	--	21.7	20.3	15.7	12.0	9.7	6.3	4.3	--	Paul +1.4
Insider Advantage	12/18 - 12/18	391 LV	24	18	13	16	10	3	4	--	Paul +6
PPP (D)	12/16 - 12/18	597 LV	23	20	14	10	10	10	4	--	Paul +3
Rasmussen Reports	12/13 - 12/13	750 LV	18	23	20	10	9	6	5	--	Romney +3

See All Iowa Republican Presidential Caucus Polling Data

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