my daughter in miami is using her heat for the first time in a decade. Al gore cant explain it but this article can
newtgingrich from web
By David Rose
Last updated at 11:17 AM on 10th January 2010
The bitter winter afflicting much of the Northern Hemisphere is only the start of a global trend towards cooler weather that is likely to last for 20 or 30 years, say some of the world’s most eminent climate scientists.
Their predictions – based on an analysis of natural cycles in water temperatures in the Pacific and Atlantic oceans – challenge some of the global warming orthodoxy’s most deeply cherished beliefs, such as the claim that the North Pole will be free of ice in
summer by 2013.
According to the US National Snow and Ice Data Centre in Colorado, Arctic summer sea ice has increased by 409,000 square miles, or 26 per cent, since 2007 – and even the most committed global warming activists do not dispute this.
They say that their research shows that much of the warming was caused by oceanic cycles when they were in a ‘warm mode’ as opposed to the present ‘cold mode’.
This challenge to the widespread view that the planet is on the brink of an irreversible catastrophe is all the greater because the scientists could never be described as global warming ‘deniers’ or sceptics.
However, both main British political parties continue to insist that the world is facing imminent disaster without drastic cuts in CO2. 
This image of the UK taken from NASA's multi-national Terra satellite on Thursday shows the extent of the freezing weather
Among the most prominent of the scientists is Professor Mojib Latif, a leading member of the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), which has been pushing the issue of man-made global warming on to the international political agenda since it was formed 22 years ago.
Prof Latif, who leads a research team at the renowned Leibniz Institute at Germany’s Kiel University, has developed new methods for measuring ocean temperatures 3,000ft beneath the surface, where the cooling and warming cycles start.
He and his colleagues predicted the new cooling trend in a paper published in 2008 and warned of it again at an IPCC conference in Geneva last September.
Last night he told The Mail on Sunday: ‘A significant share of the warming we saw from 1980 to 2000 and at earlier periods in the 20th Century was due to these cycles – perhaps as much as 50 per cent.
'They have now gone into reverse, so winters like this one will become much more likely. Summers will also probably be cooler, and all this may well last two decades or longer.
‘The extreme retreats that we have seen in glaciers and sea ice will come to a halt. For the time being, global warming has paused, and there may well be some cooling.’
As Europe, Asia and North America froze last week, conventional wisdom insisted that this was merely a ‘blip’ of no long-term significance.
Though record lows were experienced as far south as Cuba, where the daily maximum on beaches normally used for winter bathing was just 4.5C, the BBC assured viewers that the big chill was merely short-term ‘weather’ that had nothing to do with ‘climate’, which was still warming.
The work of Prof Latif and the other scientists refutes that view.
On the one hand, it is true that the current freeze is the product of the ‘Arctic oscillation’ – a weather pattern that sees the development of huge ‘blocking’ areas of high pressure in northern latitudes, driving polar winds far to the south.
Meteorologists say that this is at its strongest for at least 60 years.
As a result, the jetstream – the high-altitude wind that circles the globe from west to east and normally pushes a series of wet but mild Atlantic lows across Britain – is currently running not over the English Channel but the Strait of Gibraltar.
A composite photograph released last year to highlight the issue of melting ice and global warming
For Europe, the crucial factor here is the temperature of the water in the middle of the North Atlantic, now several degrees below its average when the world was still warming.
But the effects are not confined to the Northern Hemisphere. Prof Anastasios Tsonis, head of the University of Wisconsin Atmospheric Sciences Group, has recently shown that these MDOs move together in a synchronised way across the globe, abruptly flipping the world’s climate from a ‘warm mode’ to a ‘cold mode’ and back again in 20 to 30-year cycles.
'They amount to massive rearrangements in the dominant patterns of the weather,’ he said yesterday, ‘and their shifts explain all the major changes in world temperatures during the 20th and 21st Centuries.
'We have such a change now and can therefore expect 20 or 30 years of cooler temperatures.’
Prof Tsonis said that the period from 1915 to 1940 saw a strong warm mode, reflected in rising temperatures.
Pictures of the snow in Tiananmen Square in Beijing, China, last week show the city is the coldest it has been since 1970
Many of the consequences of the recent warm mode were also observed 90 years ago.
For example, in 1922, the Washington Post reported that Greenland’s glaciers were fast disappearing, while Arctic seals were ‘finding the water too hot’.
It interviewed a Captain Martin Ingebrigsten, who had been sailing the eastern Arctic for 54 years: ‘He says that he first noted warmer conditions in 1918, and since that time it has gotten steadily warmer.
'Where formerly great masses of ice were found, there are now moraines, accumulations of earth and stones. At many points where glaciers formerly extended into the sea they have entirely disappeared.’
As a result, the shoals of fish that used to live in these waters had vanished, while the sea ice beyond the north coast of Spitsbergen in the Arctic Ocean had melted.
Warm Gulf Stream water was still detectable within a few hundred miles of the Pole.
In contrast, Prof Tsonis said, last week 56 per cent of the surface of the United States was covered by snow.
‘That hasn’t happened for several decades,’ he pointed out. ‘It just isn’t true to say this is a blip. We can expect colder winters for quite a while.’
He recalled that towards the end of the last cold mode, the world’s media were preoccupied by fears of freezing.
For example, in 1974, a Time magazine cover story predicted ‘Another Ice Age’, saying: ‘Man may be somewhat responsible – as a result of farming and fuel burning [which is] blocking more and more sunlight from reaching and heating the Earth.’
Prof Tsonis said: ‘Perhaps we will see talk of an ice age again by the early 2030s, just as the MDOs shift once more and temperatures begin to rise.’
Like Prof Latif, Prof Tsonis is not a climate change ‘denier’. There is, he said, a measure of additional ‘background’ warming due to human activity and greenhouse gases that runs across the MDO cycles.
'This isn't just a blip. We can expect colder winters for quite a while'
'These models cannot be trusted to predict the weather for a week, yet they are running them to give readings for 100 years.’
Prof Tsonis said that when he published his work in the highly respected journal Geophysical Research Letters, he was deluged with ‘hate emails’.
He added: ‘People were accusing me of wanting to destroy the climate, yet all I’m interested in is the truth.’
He said he also received hate mail from climate change sceptics, accusing him of not going far enough to attack the theory of man-made warming.
The work of Profs Latif, Tsonis and their teams raises a crucial question: If some of the late 20th Century warming was caused not by carbon dioxide but by MDOs, then how much?
Tsonis did not give a figure; Latif suggested it could be anything between ten and 50 per cent.
Other critics of the warming orthodoxy say the role played by MDOs is even greater.
William Gray, emeritus Professor of Atmospheric Sciences at Colorado State University, said that while he believed there had been some background rise caused by greenhouse gases, the computer models used by advocates of man-made warming had hugely exaggerated their effect.
Dr David Viner stands by his claim that snow will become an 'increasingly rare event'
But last week, die-hard warming advocates were refusing to admit that MDOs were having any impact.
In March 2000, Dr David Viner, then a member of the University of East Anglia Climatic Research Unit, the body now being investigated over the notorious ‘Warmergate’ leaked emails, said that within a few years snowfall would become ‘a very rare and exciting event’ in Britain, and that ‘children just aren’t going to know what snow is’.
Now the head of a British Council programme with an annual £10 million budget that raises awareness of global warming among young people abroad, Dr Viner last week said he still stood by that prediction: ‘We’ve had three weeks of relatively cold weather, and that doesn’t change anything.
'This winter is just a little cooler than average, and I still think that snow will become an increasingly rare event.’
The longer the cold spell lasts, the harder it may be to persuade the public of that assertion.
These are some of the comments I found to be funny, stupid, idiotic
The AGW crowds haven't forgotten grade school science classes...they remember them well in fact. The trouble is, they actually despise any real science that contradicts their orthodoxy...so they choose to ignore it. Unfortunately, modern elementary school "science," classes teach global warming nonsense because these same AGW zealots want to indoctrinate children with an agenda rather than actually provide an education. If they actually taught these children HOW to think rather than WHAT to think the AGW's would truly be in over their heads...but in real science, and legitimate inquiry, and not sea water.
My main question is this: When are they going to ask for Al Gore's Nobel Prize back?
My belief is that we are headed into the next Glaciation, which follows in line from the past 20 or more previous Glaciations during the last million years plus of the current Ice Age, as predicted by the Milankovich Cycle.
Although this Cycle is fact, the time lines are too vague for this day and age, and unerstanding is further hampered by our still embryonic knowlege of weather systems and what drives them.
As a "denier', I'll just wait and watch as today's crop of Chicken Littles continue to adjust their "facts". CO2 = Global Warming ? Ha ha ha.
Although this Cycle is fact, the time lines are too vague for this day and age, and unerstanding is further hampered by our still embryonic knowlege of weather systems and what drives them.
As a "denier', I'll just wait and watch as today's crop of Chicken Littles continue to adjust their "facts". CO2 = Global Warming ? Ha ha ha.
This is one of the best articles I have read on climate issues. It makes sense & emphasizes that the scientists cited are not invested in either end of the global warming continuum. From my Internet research over the last couple of years, I've developed a few theories:
1) World climate change meetings are less about weather and more abouit gaining wealth & power via carbon trading (an envisioned worldwide source of easy revenue for the power brokers of the world).
2) When the scientists are in the politian's pocket and become fear mongers, BEWARE!
3) Developing alternative energy and reducing pollution are good goals, but not at the expense of bankrupting cities/countries/regions of the world.
4) Worldwide warming and cooling trends are still immensely complex. I remember the drought conditions in the late 1980's in the US midwest that were initially blamed on the ozone layer eventually were determined to be caused by underwater volcanoes!
1) World climate change meetings are less about weather and more abouit gaining wealth & power via carbon trading (an envisioned worldwide source of easy revenue for the power brokers of the world).
2) When the scientists are in the politian's pocket and become fear mongers, BEWARE!
3) Developing alternative energy and reducing pollution are good goals, but not at the expense of bankrupting cities/countries/regions of the world.
4) Worldwide warming and cooling trends are still immensely complex. I remember the drought conditions in the late 1980's in the US midwest that were initially blamed on the ozone layer eventually were determined to be caused by underwater volcanoes!
Colbert:
"a consensus is something everyone agrees upon. A fact is something that is NOT subjective to whether everyone agrees or disagrees. A fact is something proven which cannot be disputed. Man Made Global Warming does not meet that test. "
Thank You
and Ill take it one step further...
Man Made Global Warming doesnt even meet to consensus...and the fact that Al Gore has to lie and say it does is enough proof to me that his argument is like swiss cheese> (no offence meant to swiss cheese)
"a consensus is something everyone agrees upon. A fact is something that is NOT subjective to whether everyone agrees or disagrees. A fact is something proven which cannot be disputed. Man Made Global Warming does not meet that test. "
Thank You
and Ill take it one step further...
Man Made Global Warming doesnt even meet to consensus...and the fact that Al Gore has to lie and say it does is enough proof to me that his argument is like swiss cheese> (no offence meant to swiss cheese)
and I have one last comment
Global 'change' (cold/hot..whatever) is caused by the Sun's temperature variations. IT IS NOT CAUSED BY MAN! It's the Sun stupid! I am tired of the stupidity. Global warming is just a fabricated crisis in order for governments to pass tax laws that they could not normal get away with without the fabricated crisis. Give it a rest people. Common sense. IT'S THE SUN STUPID! Now can we go on to something else?
I will be around until 2020 and I want to see what these nay Sayers will say at that point in time.
Thank you for debunking years of global warming hooey in the space of one month with record cold temperatures. Love,
The Conservatarian