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Tuesday, April 5, 2011

Bush On Jobs: The Worst Track Record On Record



President George W. Bush entered office in 2001 just as a recession was starting, and is preparing to leave in the middle of a long one. That’s almost 22 months of recession during his 96 months in office.
His job-creation record won’t look much better. The Bush administration created about three million jobs (net) over its eight years, a fraction of the 23 million jobs created under President Bill Clinton‘s administration and only slightly better than President George H.W. Bush did in his four years in office.
Here’s a look at job creation under each president since the Labor Department started keeping payroll records in 1939. The counts are based on total payrolls between the start of the month the president took office (using the final payroll count for the end of the prior December) and his final December in office.
Because the size of the economy and labor force varies, we also calculate in percentage terms how much the total payroll count expanded under each president. The current President Bush, once taking account how long he’s been in office, shows the worst track record for job creation since the government began keeping records. –Sudeep Reddy
The chart can be sorted by any of the following categories.
President   Jobs created   Jobs at end of term   Jobs at start of term   Payroll expansion   Jobs created per year in office   Population growth   Percent change in population   
George W. Bush3.0 million135.5 million132.5 million2.3%375,00022.0 million7.7%
Bill Clinton23.1 million132.5 million109.4 million21.1%2,900,00025.2 million8.9%
George H.W. Bush2.5 million109.4 million106.9 million2.3%625,00012.5 million4.8%
Ronald Reagan16.0 million106.9 million90.9 million17.6%2,000,00017.3 million7%
Jimmy Carter10.5 million90.9 million80.4 million13.1%2,600,0009.8 million4.3%
Gerald Ford1.8 million80.4 million78.6 million2.3%745,0005.1 million2.3%
Richard Nixon9.4 million78.6 million69.2 million13.6%1,700,00012.3 million5.7%
Lyndon Johnson11.9 million69.2 million57.3 million20.8%2,300,00011.3 million5.6%
John F. Kennedy3.6 million57.3 million53.7 million6.7%1,200,0008.2 million4.3%
Dwight Eisenhower3.5 million53.7 million50.2 million7%438,00023.3 million12.8%
Harry Truman8.4 million50.2 million41.8 million20.1%1,100,000N/AN/A
NOTE: Earlier version of this chart had transposed the headings on the Jobs at start of term and Jobs at end of term columns.


Barbour Inflates Obama’s Job Losses

March 15, 2011




Haley Barbour grossly exaggerated the nation’s job losses under President Barack Obama in a March 14 speech in Chicago.
Speaking to the Chicagoland Chamber of Commerce, the Republican governor of Mississippi urged his audience to look at the Obama administration’s record "in the last two years" on spending and job creation.
Barbour, March 14: Well, let’s look at their record: in the last two years the federal government spent $7 trillion and our economy lost 7 million jobs. I guess we ought to be glad they didn’t spend $12 trillion!
Although not in Barbour’s prepared remarks, the New York Times reported that Barbour added to his joke when actually delivering his speech, saying: "I guess we ought to be glad they didn’t spend $12 trillion. We might have lost 12 million jobs.”
Barbour was going for a laugh, but he’s taking liberties in his laugh line. Let’s look at the record.
It’s true that the federal government has spent about $7 trillion over the past two fiscal years: $3.5 trillion in fiscal year 2010 and an estimated $3.8 trillion in the current fiscal year, as Table 1.1 of the president’s latest budget proposal shows. (It’s not exactly "the last two years," since the current fiscal year doesn’t end until Sept. 30, but it’s close enough.)
But Barbour is dead wrong about job losses in the last two years. He’s not even close.
According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, total nonfarm employment (the standard for measuring jobs) decreased by 3.24 million in Obama’s first two years in office, from January 2009 through January 2011. The job loss is even less if you look at "the last two years" — that is, the most recent 24-month period, from February 2009 through February 2011. By that measure, the job loss was 2.32 million jobs. That’s a lot of people out of work in either case, but it’s not even half the number that Barbour claimed.
It’s true that nearly 8.8 million jobs were lost between the most recent peak in January 2008 and when the job slump ended in February 2010, according to recently revised BLS figures. (The loss was even worse than BLS had thought when we last looked at this subject.) About half were lost under Bush and half under Obama. But in the past year nearly 1.3 million jobs have been regained.
Any way you look at it, Barbour was way off.
We asked James Richardson, Barbour’s spokesman, how the governor arrived at the 7 million figure. We are waiting for a response and will pass it along if we get one.
– Lauren Hitt
  

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