Wednesday, March 14, 2012
Al Gore: Climate of Denial
Can science and the truth withstand the merchants of poison?
by: Al Gore June 22, 2011 7:45 AM ET
Illustration by Matt Mahurin
The first time I remember hearing the question "is it real?" was when I went as a young boy to see a traveling show put on by "professional wrestlers" one summer evening in the gym of the Forks River Elementary School in Elmwood, Tennessee.
The evidence that it was real was palpable: "They're really hurting
each other! That's real blood! Look a'there! They can't fake that!" On
the other hand, there was clearly a script (or in today's language, a
"narrative"), with good guys to cheer and bad guys to boo.
But the most unusual and in some ways most interesting character in
these dramas was the referee: Whenever the bad guy committed a gross and
obvious violation of the "rules" — such as they were — like using a
metal folding chair to smack the good guy in the head, the referee
always seemed to be preoccupied with one of the cornermen, or looking
the other way. Yet whenever the good guy — after absorbing more abuse
and unfairness than any reasonable person could tolerate — committed the
slightest infraction, the referee was all over him. The answer to the
question "Is it real?" seemed connected to the question of whether the
referee was somehow confused about his role: Was he too an entertainer?
That is pretty much the role now being played by most of the news
media in refereeing the current wrestling match over whether global
warming is "real," and whether it has any connection to the constant
dumping of 90 million tons of heat-trapping emissions into the Earth's
thin shell of atmosphere every 24 hours.
Admittedly, the contest over global warming is a challenge for the
referee because it's a tag-team match, a real free-for-all. In one
corner of the ring are Science and Reason. In the other corner:
Poisonous Polluters and Right-wing Ideologues.
The referee — in this analogy, the news media — seems confused about
whether he is in the news business or the entertainment business. Is he
responsible for ensuring a fair match? Or is he part of the show,
selling tickets and building the audience? The referee certainly seems
distracted: by Donald Trump, Charlie Sheen, the latest reality show —
the list of serial obsessions is too long to enumerate here.
But whatever the cause, the referee appears not to notice that the
Polluters and Ideologues are trampling all over the "rules" of
democratic discourse. They are financing pseudoscientists whose job is
to manufacture doubt about what is true and what is false; buying
elected officials wholesale with bribes that the politicians themselves
have made "legal" and can now be made in secret; spending hundreds of
millions of dollars each year on misleading advertisements in the mass
media; hiring four anti-climate lobbyists for every member of the U.S.
Senate and House of Representatives. (Question: Would Michael Jordan
have been a star if he was covered by four defensive players every step
he took on the basketball court?)
This script, of course, is not entirely new: A half-century ago, when
Science and Reason established the linkage between cigarettes and lung
diseases, the tobacco industry hired actors, dressed them up as doctors,
and paid them to look into television cameras and tell people that the
linkage revealed in the Surgeon General's Report was not real at all.
The show went on for decades, with more Americans killed each year by
cigarettes than all of the U.S. soldiers killed in all of World War II.
This time, the scientific consensus is even stronger. It has been
endorsed by every National Academy of science of every major country on
the planet, every major professional scientific society related to the
study of global warming and 98 percent of climate scientists throughout
the world. In the latest and most authoritative study by 3,000 of the
very best scientific experts in the world, the evidence was judged
"unequivocal."
But wait! The good guys transgressed the rules of decorum, as
evidenced in their private e-mails that were stolen and put on the
Internet. The referee is all over it: Penalty! Go to your corner! And in
their 3,000-page report, the scientists made some mistakes! Another
penalty!
And if more of the audience is left confused about whether the
climate crisis is real? Well, the show must go on. After all, it's
entertainment. There are tickets to be sold, eyeballs to glue to the
screen.
Part of the script for this show was leaked to The New York Times
as early as 1991. In an internal document, a consortium of the largest
global-warming polluters spelled out their principal strategy:
"Reposition global warming as theory, rather than fact." Ever since,
they have been sowing doubt even more effectively than the tobacco
companies before them.
To sell their false narrative, the Polluters and Ideologues have
found it essential to undermine the public's respect for Science and
Reason by attacking the integrity of the climate scientists. That is why
the scientists are regularly accused of falsifying evidence and
exaggerating its implications in a greedy effort to win more research
grants, or secretly pursuing a hidden political agenda to expand the
power of government. Such slanderous insults are deeply ironic:
extremist ideologues — many financed or employed by carbon polluters —
accusing scientists of being greedy extremist ideologues.
After World War II, a philosopher studying the impact of organized
propaganda on the quality of democratic debate wrote, "The conversion of
all questions of truth into questions of power has attacked the very
heart of the distinction between true and false."
Is the climate crisis real? Yes, of course it is. Pause for a moment to consider these events of just the past 12 months:
• Heat. According to NASA, 2010 was tied with 2005
as the hottest year measured since instruments were first used
systematically in the 1880s. Nineteen countries set all-time high
temperature records. One city in Pakistan, Mohenjo-Daro, reached 128.3
degrees Fahrenheit, the hottest temperature ever measured in an Asian
city. Nine of the 10 hottest years in history have occurred in the last
13 years. The past decade was the hottest ever measured, even though
half of that decade represented a "solar minimum" — the low ebb in the
natural cycle of solar energy emanating from the sun.
• Floods. Megafloods displaced 20 million people in
Pakistan, further destabilizing a nuclear-armed country; inundated an
area of Australia larger than Germany and France combined; flooded 28 of
the 32 districts that make up Colombia, where it has rained almost
continuously for the past year; caused a "thousand-year" flood in my
home city of Nashville; and led to all-time record flood levels in the
Mississippi River Valley. Many places around the world are now
experiencing larger and more frequent extreme downpours and snowstorms;
last year's "Snowmaggedon" in the northeastern United States is part of
the same pattern, notwithstanding the guffaws of deniers.
• Drought. Historic drought and fires in Russia
killed an estimated 56,000 people and caused wheat and other food crops
in Russia, Ukraine and Kazakhstan to be removed from the global market,
contributing to a record spike in food prices. "Practically everything
is burning," Russian president Dmitry Medvedev declared. "What's
happening with the planet's climate right now needs to be a wake-up call
to all of us." The drought level in much of Texas has been raised from
"extreme" to "exceptional," the highest category. This spring the
majority of the counties in Texas were on fire, and Gov. Rick Perry
requested a major disaster declaration for all but two of the state's
254 counties. Arizona is now fighting the largest fire in its history.
Since 1970, the fire season throughout the American West has increased
by 78 days. Extreme droughts in central China and northern France are
currently drying up reservoirs and killing crops.
• Melting Ice. An enormous mass of ice, four times
larger than the island of Manhattan, broke off from northern Greenland
last year and slipped into the sea. The acceleration of ice loss in both
Greenland and Antarctica has caused another upward revision of global
sea-level rise and the numbers of refugees expected from low-lying
coastal areas. The Arctic ice cap, which reached a record low volume
last year, has lost as much as 40 percent of its area during summer in
just 30 years.
These extreme events are happening in real time. It is not uncommon
for the nightly newscast to resemble a nature hike through the Book of
Revelation. Yet most of the news media completely ignore how such events
are connected to the climate crisis, or dismiss the connection as
controversial; after all, there are scientists on one side of the debate
and deniers on the other. A Fox News executive, in an internal e-mail
to the network's reporters and editors that later became public,
questioned the "veracity of climate change data" and ordered the
journalists to "refrain from asserting that the planet has warmed (or
cooled) in any given period without IMMEDIATELY pointing out that such
theories are based upon data that critics have called into question."
But in the "real" world, the record droughts, fires, floods and
mudslides continue to increase in severity and frequency. Leading
climate scientists like Jim Hansen and Kevin Trenberth now say that
events like these would almost certainly not be occurring without the
influence of man-made global warming. And that's a shift in the way they
frame these impacts. Scientists used to caution that we were increasing
the probability of such extreme events by "loading the dice" — pumping
more carbon into the atmosphere. Now the scientists go much further,
warning that we are "painting more dots on the dice." We are not only
more likely to roll 12s; we are now rolling 13s and 14s. In other words,
the biggest storms are not only becoming more frequent, they are
getting bigger, stronger and more destructive.
"The only plausible explanation for the rise in weather-related
catastrophes is climate change," Munich Re, one of the two largest
reinsurance companies in the world, recently stated. "The view that
weather extremes are more frequent and intense due to global warming
coincides with the current state of scientific knowledge."
Many of the extreme and destructive events are the result of the
rapid increase in the amount of heat energy from the sun that is trapped
in the atmosphere, which is radically disrupting the planet's water
cycle. More heat energy evaporates more water into the air, and the
warmer air holds a lot more moisture. This has huge consequences that we
now see all around the world.
When a storm unleashes a downpour of rain or snow, the precipitation
does not originate just in the part of the sky directly above where it
falls. Storms reach out — sometimes as far as 2,000 miles — to suck in
water vapor from large areas of the sky, including the skies above
oceans, where water vapor has increased by four percent in just the last
30 years. (Scientists often compare this phenomenon to what happens in a
bathtub when you open the drain; the water rushing out comes from the
whole tub, not just from the part of the tub directly above the drain.
And when the tub is filled with more water, more goes down the drain. In
the same way, when the warmer sky is filled with a lot more water
vapor, there are bigger downpours when a storm cell opens the "drain.")
In many areas, these bigger downpours also mean longer periods
between storms — at the same time that the extra heat in the air is also
drying out the soil. That is part of the reason so many areas have been
experiencing both record floods and deeper, longer-lasting droughts.
Moreover, the scientists have been warning us for quite some time —
in increasingly urgent tones — that things will get much, much worse if
we continue the reckless dumping of more and more heat-trapping
pollution into the atmosphere. Drought is projected to spread across significant, highly populated areas of the globe throughout this century.
Look at what the scientists say is in store for the Mediterranean
nations. Should we care about the loss of Spain, France, Italy, the
Balkans, Turkey, Tunisia? Look at what they say is in store for Mexico.
Should we notice? Should we care?
Maybe it's just easier, psychologically, to swallow the lie that
these scientists who devote their lives to their work are actually
greedy deceivers and left-wing extremists — and that we should instead
put our faith in the pseudoscientists financed by large carbon polluters
whose business plans depend on their continued use of the atmospheric
commons as a place to dump their gaseous, heat-trapping waste without
limit or constraint, free of charge.
The truth is this: What we are doing is functionally insane. If we do
not change this pattern, we will condemn our children and all future
generations to struggle with ecological curses for several millennia to
come. Twenty percent of the global-warming pollution we spew into the
sky each day will still be there 20,000 years from now!
We do have another choice. Renewable energy sources are coming into
their own. Both solar and wind will soon produce power at costs that are
competitive with fossil fuels; indications are that twice as many solar
installations were erected worldwide last year as compared to 2009. The
reductions in cost and the improvements in efficiency of photovoltaic
cells over the past decade appear to be following an exponential curve
that resembles a less dramatic but still startling version of what
happened with computer chips over the past 50 years.
Enhanced geothermal energy is potentially a nearly limitless source
of competitive electricity. Increased energy efficiency is already
saving businesses money and reducing emissions significantly. New
generations of biomass energy — ones that do not rely on food crops,
unlike the mistaken strategy of making ethanol from corn — are extremely
promising. Sustainable forestry and agriculture both make economic as
well as environmental sense. And all of these options would spread even
more rapidly if we stopped subsidizing Big Oil and Coal and put a price
on carbon that reflected the true cost of fossil energy — either through
the much-maligned cap-and-trade approach, or through a revenue-neutral
tax swap.
All over the world, the grassroots movement in favor of changing
public policies to confront the climate crisis and build a more
prosperous, sustainable future is growing rapidly. But most governments
remain paralyzed, unable to take action — even after years of volatile
gasoline prices, repeated wars in the Persian Gulf, one energy-related
disaster after another, and a seemingly endless stream of unprecedented
and lethal weather disasters.
Continuing on our current course would be suicidal for global
civilization. But the key question is: How do we drive home that fact in
a democratic society when questions of truth have been converted into
questions of power? When the distinction between what is true and what
is false is being attacked relentlessly, and when the referee in the
contest between truth and falsehood has become an entertainer selling
tickets to a phony wrestling match?
The "wrestling ring" in this metaphor is the conversation of
democracy. It used to be called the "public square." In ancient Athens,
it was the Agora. In the Roman Republic, it was the Forum. In the Egypt
of the recent Arab Spring, "Tahrir Square" was both real and
metaphorical — encompassing Facebook, Twitter, Al-Jazeera and texting.
In the America of the late-18th century, the conversation that led to
our own "Spring" took place in printed words: pamphlets, newsprint,
books, the "Republic of Letters." It represented the fullest flower of
the Enlightenment, during which the oligarchic power of the monarchies,
the feudal lords and the Medieval Church was overthrown and replaced
with a new sovereign: the Rule of Reason.
The public square that gave birth to the new consciousness of the
Enlightenment emerged in the dozen generations following the invention
of the printing press — "the Gutenberg Galaxy," the scholar Marshall
McLuhan called it — a space in which the conversation of democracy was
almost equally accessible to every literate person. Individuals could
both find the knowledge that had previously been restricted to elites
and contribute their own ideas.
Ideas that found resonance with others rose in prominence much the
way Google searches do today, finding an ever larger audience and
becoming a source of political power for individuals with neither wealth
nor force of arms. Thomas Paine, to take one example, emigrated from
England to Philadelphia with no wealth, no family connections and no
power other than that which came from his ability to think and write
clearly — yet his Common Sense became the Harry Potter of Revolutionary America. The "public interest" mattered, was actively discussed and pursued.
But the "public square" that gave birth to America has been
transformed beyond all recognition. The conversation that matters most
to the shaping of the "public mind" now takes place on television.
Newspapers and magazines are in decline. The Internet, still in its
early days, will one day support business models that make true
journalism profitable — but up until now, the only successful news
websites aggregate content from struggling print publications. Web
versions of the newspapers themselves are, with few exceptions, not yet
making money. They bring to mind the classic image of Wile E. Coyote
running furiously in midair just beyond the edge of the cliff, before
plummeting to the desert floor far beneath him.
The average American, meanwhile, is watching television an
astonishing five hours a day. In the average household, at least one
television set is turned on more than eight hours a day. Moreover,
approximately 75 percent of those using the Internet frequently watch
television at the same time that they are online.
Unlike access to the "public square" of early America, access to
television requires large amounts of money. Thomas Paine could walk out
of his front door in Philadelphia and find a dozen competing, low-cost
print shops within blocks of his home. Today, if he traveled to the
nearest TV station, or to the headquarters of nearby Comcast — the
dominant television provider in America — and tried to deliver his new
ideas to the American people, he would be laughed off the premises. The
public square that used to be a commons has been refeudalized, and the
gatekeepers charge large rents for the privilege of communicating to the
American people over the only medium that really affects their
thinking. "Citizens" are now referred to more commonly as "consumers" or
"the audience."
That is why up to 80 percent of the campaign budgets for candidates
in both major political parties is devoted to the purchase of 30-second
TV ads. Since the rates charged for these commercials increase each
year, the candidates are forced to raise more and more money in each
two-year campaign cycle.
Of course, the only reliable sources from which such large sums can
be raised continuously are business lobbies. Organized labor, a shadow
of its former self, struggles to compete, and individuals are limited by
law to making small contributions. During the 2008 campaign, there was a
bubble of hope that Internet-based fundraising might even the scales,
but in the end, Democrats as well as Republicans relied far more on
traditional sources of large contributions. Moreover, the recent
deregulation of unlimited — and secret — donations by wealthy
corporations has made the imbalance even worse.
In the new ecology of political discourse, special-interest
contributors of the large sums of money now required for the privilege
of addressing voters on a wholesale basis are not squeamish about asking
for the quo they expect in return for their quid. Politicians who don't
acquiesce don't get the money they need to be elected and re-elected.
And the impact is doubled when special interests make clear — usually
bluntly — that the money they are withholding will go instead to
opponents who are more than happy to pledge the desired quo. Politicians
have been racing to the bottom for some time, and are presently
tunneling to new depths. It is now commonplace for congressmen and
senators first elected decades ago — as I was — to comment in private
that the whole process has become unbelievably crass, degrading and
horribly destructive to the core values of American democracy.
Largely as a result, the concerns of the wealthiest individuals and
corporations routinely trump the concerns of average Americans and small
businesses. There are a ridiculously large number of examples:
eliminating the inheritance tax paid by the wealthiest one percent of
families is considered a much higher priority than addressing the
suffering of the millions of long-term unemployed; Wall Street's
interest in legalizing gambling in trillions of dollars of "derivatives"
was considered way more important than protecting the integrity of the
financial system and the interests of middle-income home buyers. It's a
long list.
Almost every group organized to promote and protect the "public
interest" has been backpedaling and on the defensive. By sharp contrast,
when a coalition of powerful special interests sets out to manipulate
U.S. policy, their impact can be startling — and the damage to the true
national interest can be devastating.
In 2002, for example, the feverish desire to invade Iraq required
convincing the American people that Saddam Hussein was somehow
responsible for attacking the United States on September 11th, 2001, and
that he was preparing to attack us again, perhaps with nuclear weapons.
When the evidence — the "facts" — stood in the way of that effort to
shape the public mind, they were ridiculed, maligned and ignored. Behind
the scenes, the intelligence was manipulated and the public was
intentionally deceived. Allies were pressured to adopt the same approach
with their publics. A recent inquiry in the U.K. confirmed this yet
again. "We knew at the time that the purpose of the dossier was
precisely to make a case for war, rather than setting out the available
intelligence," Maj. Gen. Michael Laurie testified. "To make the best out
of sparse and inconclusive intelligence, the wording was developed with
care." Why? As British intelligence put it, the overthrow of Saddam was
"a prize because it could give new security to oil supplies."
That goal — the real goal — could have been debated on its own terms.
But as Bush administration officials have acknowledged, a truly candid
presentation would not have resulted in sufficient public support for
the launching of a new war. They knew that because they had studied it
and polled it. So they manipulated the debate, downplayed the real
motive for the invasion, and made a different case to the public — one
based on falsehoods.
And the "referee" — the news media — looked the other way. Some, like
Fox News, were hyperactive cheerleaders. Others were intimidated into
going along by the vitriol heaped on any who asked inconvenient
questions. (They know it; many now acknowledge it, sheepishly and
apologetically.)
Senators themselves fell, with a few honorable exceptions, into the
same two camps. A few weeks before the United States invaded Iraq, the
late Robert Byrd — God rest his soul — thundered on the Senate floor
about the pitiful quality of the debate over the choice between war and
peace: "Yet, this Chamber is, for the most part, silent — ominously,
dreadfully silent. There is no debate, no discussion, no attempt to lay
out for the nation the pros and cons of this particular war. There is
nothing."
The chamber was silent, in part, because many senators were somewhere
else — attending cocktail parties and receptions, largely with
special-interest donors, raising money to buy TV ads for their next
campaigns. Nowadays, in fact, the scheduling of many special-interest
fundraisers mirrors the schedule of votes pending in the House and
Senate.
By the time we invaded Iraq, polls showed, nearly three-quarters of
the American people were convinced that the person responsible for the
planes flying into the World Trade Center Towers was indeed Saddam
Hussein. The rest is history — though, as Faulkner wrote, "The past is
never dead. It's not even past." Because of that distortion of the truth
in the past, we are still in Iraq; and because the bulk of our troops
and intelligence assets were abruptly diverted from Afghanistan to Iraq,
we are also still in Afghanistan.
In the same way, because the banks had their way with Congress when
it came to gambling on unregulated derivatives and recklessly
endangering credit markets with subprime mortgages, we still have almost
double-digit unemployment, historic deficits, Greece and possibly other
European countries teetering on the edge of default, and the threat of a
double-dip recession. Even the potential default of the United States
of America is now being treated by many politicians and too many in the
media as yet another phony wrestling match, a political game.
Are the potential economic consequences of a U.S. default "real"? Of course they are! Have we gone completely nuts?
Are the potential economic consequences of a U.S. default "real"? Of course they are! Have we gone completely nuts?
We haven't gone nuts — but the "conversation of democracy" has become
so deeply dysfunctional that our ability to make intelligent collective
decisions has been seriously impaired. Throughout American history, we
relied on the vibrancy of our public square — and the quality of our
democratic discourse — to make better decisions than most nations in the
history of the world. But we are now routinely making really bad
decisions that completely ignore the best available evidence of what is
true and what is false. When the distinction between truth and falsehood
is systematically attacked without shame or consequence — when a great
nation makes crucially important decisions on the basis of completely
false information that is no longer adequately filtered through the
fact-checking function of a healthy and honest public discussion — the
public interest is severely damaged.
That is exactly what is happening with U.S. decisions regarding the
climate crisis. The best available evidence demonstrates beyond any
reasonable doubt that the reckless spewing of global-warming pollution
in obscene quantities into the atmospheric commons is having exactly the
consequences long predicted by scientists who have analyzed the known
facts according to the laws of physics.
The emergence of the climate crisis seems sudden only because of a
relatively recent discontinuity in the relationship between human
civilization and the planet's ecological system. In the past century, we
have quadrupled global population while relying on the burning of
carbon-based fuels — coal, oil and gas — for 85 percent of the world's
energy. We are also cutting and burning forests that would otherwise
help remove some of the added CO2 from the atmosphere, and have
converted agriculture to an industrial model that also runs on
carbon-based fuels and strip-mines carbon-rich soils.
The cumulative result is a radically new reality — and since human
nature makes us vulnerable to confusing the unprecedented with the
improbable, it naturally seems difficult to accept. Moreover, since this
new reality is painful to contemplate, and requires big changes in
policy and behavior that are at the outer limit of our ability, it is
all too easy to fall into the psychological state of denial. As with
financial issues like subprime mortgages and credit default swaps, the
climate crisis can seem too complex to worry about, especially when the
shills for the polluters constantly claim it's all a hoax anyway. And
since the early impacts of climatic disruption are distributed globally,
they masquerade as an abstraction that is safe to ignore.
These vulnerabilities, rooted in our human nature, are being
manipulated by the tag-team of Polluters and Ideologues who are trying
to deceive us. And the referee — the news media — is once again
distracted. As with the invasion of Iraq, some are hyperactive
cheerleaders for the deception, while others are intimidated into
complicity, timidity and silence by the astonishing vitriol heaped upon
those who dare to present the best evidence in a professional manner.
Just as TV networks who beat the drums of war prior to the Iraq invasion
were rewarded with higher ratings, networks now seem reluctant to
present the truth about the link between carbon pollution and global
warming out of fear that conservative viewers will change the channel —
and fear that they will receive a torrent of flame e-mails from deniers.
Many politicians, unfortunately, also fall into the same two
categories: those who cheerlead for the deniers and those who cower
before them. The latter group now includes several candidates for the
Republican presidential nomination who have felt it necessary to abandon
their previous support for action on the climate crisis; at least one
has been apologizing profusely to the deniers and begging for their
forgiveness.
"Intimidation" and "timidity" are connected by more than a shared
word root. The first is designed to produce the second. As Yeats wrote
almost a century ago, "The best lack all conviction, while the worst are
full of passionate intensity."
Barack Obama's approach to the climate crisis represents a special
case that requires careful analysis. His election was accompanied by
intense hope that many things in need of change would change. Some
things have, but others have not. Climate policy, unfortunately, is in
the second category. Why?
First of all, anyone who honestly examines the incredible challenges
confronting President Obama when he took office has to feel enormous
empathy for him: the Great Recession, with the high unemployment and the
enormous public and private indebtedness it produced; two seemingly
interminable wars; an intractable political opposition whose true
leaders — entertainers masquerading as pundits — openly declared that
their objective was to ensure that the new president failed; a badly
broken Senate that is almost completely paralyzed by the threat of
filibuster and is controlled lock, stock and barrel by the oil and coal
industries; a contingent of nominal supporters in Congress who are
indentured servants of the same special interests that control most of
the Republican Party; and a ferocious, well-financed and dishonest
campaign poised to vilify anyone who dares offer leadership for the
reduction of global-warming pollution.
In spite of these obstacles, President Obama included significant
climate-friendly initiatives in the economic stimulus package he
presented to Congress during his first month in office. With the
skillful leadership of House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and committee chairmen
Henry Waxman and Ed Markey, he helped secure passage of a cap-and-trade
measure in the House a few months later. He implemented historic
improvements in fuel-efficiency standards for automobiles, and
instructed the Environmental Protection Agency to move forward on the
regulation of global-warming pollution under the Clean Air Act. He
appointed many excellent men and women to key positions, and they, in
turn, have made hundreds of changes in environmental and energy policy
that have helped move the country forward slightly on the climate issue.
During his first six months, he clearly articulated the link between
environmental security, economic security and national security — making
the case that a national commitment to renewable energy could
simultaneously reduce unemployment, dependence on foreign oil and
vulnerability to the disruption of oil markets dominated by the Persian
Gulf reserves. And more recently, as the issue of long-term debt has
forced discussion of new revenue, he proposed the elimination of
unnecessary and expensive subsidies for oil and gas.
But in spite of these and other achievements, President Obama has
thus far failed to use the bully pulpit to make the case for bold action
on climate change. After successfully passing his green stimulus
package, he did nothing to defend it when Congress decimated its
funding. After the House passed cap and trade, he did little to make
passage in the Senate a priority. Senate advocates — including one
Republican — felt abandoned when the president made concessions to oil
and coal companies without asking for anything in return. He has also
called for a massive expansion of oil drilling in the United States,
apparently in an effort to defuse criticism from those who argue
speciously that "drill, baby, drill" is the answer to our growing
dependence on foreign oil.
The failure to pass legislation to limit global-warming pollution
ensured that the much-anticipated Copenhagen summit on a global treaty
in 2009 would also end in failure. The president showed courage in
attending the summit and securing a rhetorical agreement to prevent a
complete collapse of the international process, but that's all it was — a
rhetorical agreement. During the final years of the Bush-Cheney
administration, the rest of the world was waiting for a new president
who would aggressively tackle the climate crisis — and when it became
clear that there would be no real change from the Bush era, the agenda
at Copenhagen changed from "How do we complete this historic
breakthrough?" to "How can we paper over this embarrassing
disappointment?"
Some concluded from the failure in Copenhagen that it was time to
give up on the entire U.N.-sponsored process for seeking an
international agreement to reduce both global-warming pollution and
deforestation. Ultimately, however, the only way to address the climate
crisis will be with a global agreement that in one way or another puts a
price on carbon. And whatever approach is eventually chosen, the U.S.
simply must provide leadership by changing our own policy.
Yet without presidential leadership that focuses intensely on making
the public aware of the reality we face, nothing will change. The real
power of any president, as Richard Neustadt wrote, is "the power to
persuade." Yet President Obama has never presented to the American
people the magnitude of the climate crisis. He has simply not made the
case for action. He has not defended the science against the ongoing,
withering and dishonest attacks. Nor has he provided a presidential
venue for the scientific community — including our own National Academy —
to bring the reality of the science before the public.
Here is the core of it: we are destroying the climate balance that is
essential to the survival of our civilization. This is not a distant or
abstract threat; it is happening now. The United States is the only
nation that can rally a global effort to save our future. And the
president is the only person who can rally the United States.
Many political advisers assume that a president has to deal with the
world of politics as he finds it, and that it is unwise to risk
political capital on an effort to actually lead the country toward a new
understanding of the real threats and real opportunities we face.
Concentrate on the politics of re-election, they say. Don't take
chances.
All that might be completely understandable and make perfect sense in
a world where the climate crisis wasn't "real." Those of us who support
and admire President Obama understand how difficult the politics of
this issue are in the context of the massive opposition to doing
anything at all — or even to recognizing that there is a crisis. And
assuming that the Republicans come to their senses and avoid nominating a
clown, his re-election is likely to involve a hard-fought battle with
high stakes for the country. All of his supporters understand that it
would be self-defeating to weaken Obama and heighten the risk of another
step backward.
Even writing an article like this one carries risks; opponents of the president will excerpt the criticism and strip it of context.
Even writing an article like this one carries risks; opponents of the president will excerpt the criticism and strip it of context.
But in this case, the President has reality on his side. The
scientific consensus is far stronger today than at any time in the past.
Here is the truth: The Earth is round; Saddam Hussein did not attack us
on 9/11; Elvis is dead; Obama was born in the United States; and the
climate crisis is real. It is time to act.
Those who profit from the unconstrained pollution that is the primary
cause of climate change are determined to block our perception of this
reality. They have help from many sides: from the private sector, which
is now free to make unlimited and secret campaign contributions; from
politicians who have conflated their tenures in office with the pursuit
of the people's best interests; and — tragically — from the press
itself, which treats deception and falsehood on the same plane as
scientific fact, and calls it objective reporting of alternative
opinions.
All things are not equally true. It is time to face reality. We
ignored reality in the marketplace and nearly destroyed the world
economic system. We are likewise ignoring reality in the environment,
and the consequences could be several orders of magnitude worse.
Determining what is real can be a challenge in our culture, but in order
to make wise choices in the presence of such grave risks, we must use
common sense and the rule of reason in coming to an agreement on what is
true.
So how can we make it happen? How can we as individuals make a difference? In five basic ways:
First, become a committed advocate for solving the crisis. You can
start with something simple: Speak up whenever the subject of climate
arises. When a friend or acquaintance expresses doubt that the crisis is
real, or that it's some sort of hoax, don't let the opportunity pass to
put down your personal marker. The civil rights revolution may have
been driven by activists who put their lives on the line, but it was
partly won by average Americans who began to challenge racist comments
in everyday conversations.
Second, deepen your commitment by making consumer choices that reduce
energy use and reduce your impact on the environment. The demand by
individuals for change in the marketplace has already led many
businesses to take truly significant steps to reduce their
global-warming pollution. Some of the corporate changes are more
symbolic than real — "green-washing," as it's called — but a surprising
amount of real progress is taking place. Walmart, to pick one example,
is moving aggressively to cut its carbon footprint by 20 million metric
tons, in part by pressuring its suppliers to cut down on wasteful
packaging and use lower-carbon transportation alternatives. Reward those
companies that are providing leadership.
Third, join an organization committed to action on this issue. The
Alliance for Climate Protection (climateprotect.org), which I chair, has
grassroots action plans for the summer and fall that spell out lots of
ways to fight effectively for the policy changes we need. We can also
enable you to host a slide show in your community on solutions to the
climate crisis — presented by one of the 4,000 volunteers we have
trained. Invite your friends and neighbors to come and then enlist them
to join the cause.
Fourth, contact your local newspapers and television stations when
they put out claptrap on climate — and let them know you're fed up with
their stubborn and cowardly resistance to reporting the facts of this
issue. One of the main reasons they are so wimpy and irresponsible about
global warming is that they're frightened of the reaction they get from
the deniers when they report the science objectively. So let them know
that deniers are not the only ones in town with game. Stay on them!
Don't let up! It's true that some media outlets are getting instructions
from their owners on this issue, and that others are influenced by big
advertisers, but many of them are surprisingly responsive to a genuine
outpouring of opinion from their viewers and readers. It is way past
time for the ref to do his job.
Finally, and above all, don't give up on the political system. Even
though it is rigged by special interests, it is not so far gone that
candidates and elected officials don't have to pay attention to
persistent, engaged and committed individuals. President Franklin
Roosevelt once told civil rights leaders who were pressing him for
change that he agreed with them about the need for greater equality for
black Americans. Then, as the story goes, he added with a wry smile,
"Now go out and make me do it."
To make our elected leaders take action to solve the climate crisis,
we must forcefully communicate the following message: "I care a lot
about global warming; I am paying very careful attention to the way you
vote and what you say about it; if you are on the wrong side, I am not
only going to vote against you, I will work hard to defeat you —
regardless of party. If you are on the right side, I will work hard to
elect you."
Why do you think President Obama and Congress changed their game on
"don't ask, don't tell?" It happened because enough Americans delivered
exactly that tough message to candidates who wanted their votes. When
enough people care passionately enough to drive that message home on the
climate crisis, politicians will look at their hole cards, and enough
of them will change their game to make all the difference we need.
This is not naive; trust me on this. It may take more individual
voters to beat the Polluters and Ideologues now than it once did — when
special-interest money was less dominant. But when enough people speak
this way to candidates, and convince them that they are dead serious
about it, change will happen — both in Congress and in the White House.
As the great abolitionist leader Frederick Douglass once observed,
"Power concedes nothing without a demand. It never did, and it never
will."
What is now at risk in the climate debate is nothing less than our
ability to communicate with one another according to a protocol that
binds all participants to seek reason and evaluate facts honestly. The
ability to perceive reality is a prerequisite for self-governance.
Wishful thinking and denial lead to dead ends. When it works, the
democratic process helps clear the way toward reality, by exposing false
argumentation to the best available evidence. That is why the
Constitution affords such unique protection to freedom of the press and
of speech.
The climate crisis, in reality, is a struggle for the soul of
America. It is about whether or not we are still capable — given the ill
health of our democracy and the current dominance of wealth over reason
— of perceiving important and complex realities clearly enough to
promote and protect the sustainable well-being of the many. What hangs
in the balance is the future of civilization as we know it.
The Street Fighter

Preet Bharara, the US Attorney for the Southern District of New York, photographed on Sunday, January 29, 2012.
Martin Schoeller for TIME
Monday, Feb. 13, 2012
By Bill Saporito; Massimo Calabresi
On wall street and in financial firms across America, the conference call is a standard workday tool. Traders, analysts and executives hop on to discuss trades, news and rumors that might move the market. Such was the case at the hedge fund Level Global Investors on Nov. 4, 2009, when one of its analysts joined a call organized by a second firm, Primary Global Research. PGR connects hedge funds, brokerages and other market players with executives of corporations--a Wall Street matchmaker of sorts--and on that day, PGR had some hot information for the hedgies at Level Global.
Too hot.
Unknown to the participants, Preet Bharara, U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York, was recording the conversation, and he wasn't looking for stock tips. A confidential informant had told his office that the party line was being used illegally to trade inside information. Bharara, who has launched a war on Wall Street crime, wanted proof. So he obtained a secret court order to join the conference call--something of a first for a U.S. Attorney. "Significant officials at publicly traded companies are casually and cavalierly engaged in insider trading," Bharara said on Jan. 24, sitting in his corner office behind Manhattan's city hall. "Because insider trading has as one of its elements communication, it doesn't take rocket science to realize it's nice to have the communication on tape."
Now Bharara is targeting an even more infamous Wall Street excess. On Feb. 1 he charged three former high-ranking Credit Suisse executives with fraud for inflating the value of mortgage bonds they held in 2008 in order to protect their bonuses as the housing market collapsed around them. Kareem Serageldin, head of the bank's structured-credit group, managing director David Higgs and Salmaan Siddiqui, a vice president in the investment-banking division, allegedly "papered over" more than $500 million in losses, according to the indictment, contributing to an eventual $2.65 billion write-down for Credit Suisse. Higgs and Siddiqui have pleaded guilty and are cooperating with the government. These are some of the first prosecutions of crimes involving residential-mortgage-backed securities, instruments that helped underwrite the housing bubble that led to the financial collapse.
In postmeltdown America, Main Street has been baying for some high-paid Wall Street heads to roll, and the 43-year-old Bharara is supplying them. His tactics are not always conventional. Prosecutors normally unravel criminal conspiracies one crook at a time, working their way slowly up the chain of command, and Bharara is doing some of that. But in an unusual and still controversial feat of prosecutorial moxie during his investigations of insider trading, Bharara and his team got a warrant to tap multiple people on the PGR conference call, beginning in early October 2009. The tap, which would cover 104 PGR employees and clients, gave Bharara a big net. The evidence that he and his staff would accumulate through that and other classic Mob-busting techniques like flipping lower-lever defendants into informants has led to the arrests of 63 people on insider-trading and other stock-fraud-related charges. Through pleas and at trial he's won 56 convictions--seven cases are pending--and he's had no losses.
Those traders may not have caused the meltdown, but since he arrived on the job in August 2009, Bharara has been targeting what he calls Wall Street's culture of greed. "There was a creeping culture of corruption in our politics and also in Wall Street and in business generally," he says. Bharara is aiming high, making arrests so far up Wall Street's food chain that hedge-fund bosses may be wondering about picking up the phone.
One of those arrested was Anthony Chiasson, high-flying co-founder of Level Global, whose trades, say the feds, made $72.6 million in profits for the firm over more than two years. Another is Raj Rajaratnam, the former boss of the $7 billion hedge fund Galleon Group, who is in jail for securities fraud and conspiracy while he appeals his 11-year sentence, which was delivered last October after a lengthy trial. Bharara has also charged former McKinsey & Co. CEO Rajat Gupta--like him a first-generation immigrant from India who made it in the U.S.--with securities fraud. And having arrested John Horvath, who worked at Sigma Capital, a unit of SAC Capital Advisors, Bharara has now alleged illegal activity inside the $14 billion hedge fund of Wall Street biggie Steven Cohen. Neither Cohen nor his firm has been accused of any wrongdoing. "He's bringing a lot of very high-profile cases," says his predecessor in the job, former New York City mayor Rudolph Giuliani, who says Bharara's done a "great job."
To his critics, Bharara's prosecutorial reach is perilous to innocent bystanders. The definition of insider trading has never been clear. And the mere appearance of Bharara has been enough to send investors fleeing (with their cash) from hedge funds once they become his target. Level Global is finished; FrontPoint Partners, once a $7 billion firm, was reduced to a shell after one of its analysts was busted. At the same time, political pressure for more arrests is mounting. An election-year posse is being formed in Washington to try to round up the perpetrators of the Great Recession. President Barack Obama unveiled during his State of the Union address in January a new task force to investigate mortgage fraud by big banks.
To hear him tell it, Bharara is after something bigger than just arrests. In his insider-trading cases, Bharara says he is not targeting hedge funds but rather leveling the playing field for all investors at a time when fairness is vitally important. "Insider trading tells everybody at precisely the wrong time that everything is rigged," he says, "and only people who have a billion dollars and have access to and are best friends with people who are on boards of directors of major companies--they're the only ones who can make a true buck." Ultimately, though, justice comes in court, after the perp walks and the press conferences are long forgotten, and it is there that Bharara's choice of cases--and his tactics--will be judged.
The Third Wave
Bharara is the top cop on the beat at a time when Wall Street is experiencing its third major prosecution wave since the late 1980s. Giuliani made enough successful big-time busts during the first wave to launch a political career that culminated in a presidential run. His was the junk-bond era--marked by the crash of '87--when corporate takeovers fueled by "high yield" debt were frequent and inside information was a valued currency. He nailed Drexel Burnham Lambert's superstar banker Mike Milken and arbitrageur Ivan Boesky on charges related to insider trading. And he made drama a tool of his trade: the sight of Robert Freeman, the highly respected head of arbitrage at Goldman Sachs, being led away in handcuffs from the firm's trading floor was one of the most stunning scenes of the era.
New York Attorney General Eliot Spitzer was the star of the second wave, during the dotcom-bust days in the 2000s. Leveraging New York State's nominal jurisdiction over what usually are considered federal cases, he zeroed in on Wall Street's all-too-cozy relationships among investment bankers, analysts and firms' best customers in dispensing hot tech-stock IPOs. Spitzer also targeted the Street's research analysts' penchant for placing "buy" recommendations on every other piece of dotcom garbage their firms were taking public. During the same period, U.S. Attorneys in Houston took advantage of a relatively new law that made it a crime for corporate executives to deprive shareholders of "honest services." Down went Enron CEO Jeff Skilling and Hollinger's Conrad Black on honest-services fraud and other charges. Other big fish like WorldCom's Bernie Ebbers and Tyco's Dennis Kozlowski were also jailed.
There's a link between the Spitzer era and Bharara's current cases. Spitzer's spotlight helped prompt new regulations that forced the large financial firms to divest themselves of some in-house research capabilities to prevent collusion between research-chasing analysts and their stock-peddling colleagues. The idea was to strip the big brokerage firms of their access to inside info and give equal access to all investors. Instead, the activity was essentially outsourced to people who left the firms to set up their own research organizations--what would become known as expert networks--which then sold the information back to the Wall Street firms. Expert networks like PGR got good at penetrating corporations and connecting traders on the outside with corporate operatives on the inside who had useful information to sell.
What Bharara was listening for on the conference call in November 2009 was very specific: nonpublic information that could move stock prices. It is a violation of federal securities law to conspire to make money on "material nonpublic information," and in an FBI affidavit filed to U.S. District Judge Kevin Duffy, the feds claimed probable cause against at least eight of the potential 104 people who used the PGR line. Duffy granted the wiretap in early October 2009.
Over the months that followed, Bharara's team would mine the resulting wiretap warrant for all it was worth. On the Nov. 4, 2009, call, for example, Dan DeVore, a global supply manager for computer maker Dell who was paid in total more than $145,000 by PGR, told Spyridon "Sam" Adondakis of Level Global that computer sales had jumped from 60,000 units a day to as high as 200,000 units a day, thanks in part to the introduction of the new Windows 7 operating system. DeVore also gave Adondakis details on future pricing of Dell's computers. And he slipped Adondakis forecasts for the company's growth in coming months. All of this gave Adondakis a leg up on the market. DeVore briefed at least nine other analysts about Dell's prospects on the conference line over the next six months. When Bharara finally arrested him in December 2010, DeVore pleaded guilty to wire fraud and conspiracy and began cooperating with the government. It is a sign of how useful he is--and how much further Bharara plans to take this strand of his investigation--that DeVore's sentencing is not even scheduled until December 2013.
Giuliani says Bharara has chosen his cases wisely and well. "He's bringing responsible cases," Giuliani tells TIME. "When you make these high-profile prosecutions, you're deterring a lot of crimes."
Born to Prosecute
Bharara got to the Southern District from the ground up. He was born in the Punjab city of Ferozepur, where his father, a doctor, was struggling to raise a family. When Bharara was 2, his father brought the family to New Jersey via England, and Bharara remembers him drawing a contrast between how things worked in India and how they did in their new country. "I remember him talking about seeing bribes being passed, even among doctors [in India], which he thought was not the way it should work," Bharara says.
Bharara developed a first-generation immigrant's passion for the American way of government. In his first week at Harvard, he engaged in a now famous all-night argument with another newcomer, Viet Dinh, who later became a powerful lawyer in the George W. Bush Administration and an author of the Patriot Act. Dinh argued that the framers of the Constitution believed men's souls were evil, while Bharara insisted they thought they were good. By the time they went to breakfast the following morning, they were best friends. Back then, it was already clear to Dinh where Bharara was headed. "His unwavering focus has always been to become a prosecutor," Dinh says.
Seven years after Columbia Law School, Bharara got his chance, joining the Southern District, one of the largest, most powerful and most respected federal attorney's offices in the U.S. Assigned to the organized-crime unit, he teamed up with the agents busting figures from the Colombo and Gambino families. It was there, says his friend Bill Burck, a former deputy White House counsel for Bush who served with him as a prosecutor, that Bharara developed his signature mix of Ivy League training and wisecracking, blue collar casemaking.
It was also in that job that Bharara learned the value of a wiretap. "When you're trying to make a racketeering case that involves charges of extortion, which by definition include threats of violence, and you have a guy saying, like you might see on The Sopranos, 'I'm going to staple your eyeball,' that's pretty good evidence. And you get that all the time," Bharara says.
In 2005 he showed he had political smarts, getting himself a job as a judiciary-committee aide to New York's senior Senator, Chuck Schumer. Bharara arrived in Washington a known quantity, thanks to his friendships with Republicans like Burck and Dinh, both of whom were already in the Bush Administration. That made him a trusted interlocutor between the Administration and the Democrats in Congress when accusations of political influence over prosecutors arose under then Attorney General Alberto Gonzales in 2006. Bharara became the lead investigator, uncovering political motivations behind the firing of nine U.S. Attorneys by top Gonzales aides. The investigation started the ball rolling that would eventually topple Gonzales and result in subpoenas against top White House officials, including Karl Rove and White House counsel Harriet Miers, and make Bharara's boss, Schumer, look good. In early 2009, Schumer encouraged newly elected President Obama to make Bharara the new U.S. Attorney in Manhattan.
Will His Perps Walk?
The Jury is still out on whether Bharara's war on this third wave of Wall Street crime will produce longer-lasting results than his predecessors' efforts did. Much depends on whether his convictions are upheld on appeal--and the defendants in these cases have the means to make the challenges that sometimes lead to reversals. The 1968 federal law on wiretaps explicitly limits the government's right to listen in on calls where there is no probable cause that a crime will be committed. And the definition of exactly what constitutes insider trading remains a hurdle. "Neither the SEC nor Congress has ever defined inside information, nor has either succeeded in specifying the level of significance the information must have to be the subject of a criminal violation," says Henry G. Manne, a dean emeritus of the George Mason University School of Law.
No prosecutor wins every case. While most of those overheard on the conference call who were charged with insider trading have pleaded guilty to securities fraud and conspiracy, at least one, PGR's James Fleishman, has not. "It should be tremendously scary for anyone who works in a large organization" that government prosecutors can tap conference-call lines that are used by multiple innocent people, says Ethan Balogh, the lawyer for Fleishman. Courts have been generous in judging whether a wiretap is reasonable, and Judge Jed Rakoff of New York's Southern District denied Balogh's motion to suppress the conference-call wiretap evidence and sentenced Fleishman to 30 months in prison. Fleishman is appealing to the U.S. Second Circuit Court of Appeals; the case could go all the way to the Supreme Court, thanks to the government's admission in its request for the tap that it didn't have probable cause against 93 of the 104 people it planned to eavesdrop on.
History shows a mixed record for forward-leaning prosecutors. Giuliani's highest-profile Wall Street target, Robert Freeman, served just four months in prison and paid a $1 million fine--for mail fraud. Appeals courts rolled back some of the honest-services-fraud convictions related to Enron and Conrad Black, and in 2005, the Supreme Court unanimously nullified the government's victory against Enron's accounting firm Arthur Andersen, a bitter end for the more than 25,000 employees who lost their jobs when the company folded in the wake of the lower court's 2002 conviction. Spitzer's civil suit to force New York Stock Exchange CEO Dick Grasso to return part of his multimillion-dollar pay package was drop-kicked by the appeals courts, as were other high-profile cases he brought on his way to the governor's mansion. Brendan Sullivan, the defense lawyer who successfully defended Alaska Senator Ted Stevens after his indictment on charges based on prosecutorial witness rigging, says we are at a historical extreme of prosecutorial power. "The pendulum has swung fully toward prosecutors," he says. "So it's all the more important that you have prosecutors with a keen sense of justice."
Sullivan is right, of course, and that's why warrants have to be okayed by judges. But it is also true that politics can sometimes drive prosecutions at every level of government, and there is a danger in wanting to criminalize the recession. The Obama Justice Department has launched a new wave of investigations of people behind the mortgage-lending free-for-all that nearly destroyed the economy when the housing bubble burst in 2007. Three years of prior investigations haven't yielded much criminal prosecution. Greed by itself isn't a crime. In trying to make Wall Street fairer to all investors, Bharara is in some respects acting as a regulator. Given the dithering in Congress over consumer financial protection, state and federal prosecutors get the job by default.
Bharara, who is not part of the new task force but says it is a "welcome addition," echoes Sullivan's call for prosecutorial standards. "In this office, we talk every day about doing what is right by the law and by our conscience and try to use the most aggressive technique that is appropriate to the task at hand, within limits of the law," he says.
That kind of talk explains why some friends say Bharara has the potential to become the first Indian American in a top spot at the Justice Department or in the courts. For now, though, Bharara says more insider-trading arrests are on the way, a statement he knows has its own power to deter potential criminals. "Securities fraud generally and insider trading in particular should be eminently deterrable crimes," he says. With Bharara on the beat, they are. But eventually Wall Street's appetite for making money will once again test the skills, and tactics, of America's prosecutors.
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