Pages

Monday, January 31, 2011

Berman Responds to Ongoing Crisis in Egypt


Washington, DC – Congressman Howard L. Berman, Ranking Democrat on the House Foreign Affairs Committee, released the following statement in response to the ongoing crisis in Egypt.

“Egypt has long needed a more inclusive government, responsive to the desires of its citizens. If a stable democracy is to emerge, there must be wide participation by all secular forces in the country.

“The United States must be prepared to assist the Egyptian government and opposition leaders enter a constructive dialogue, if we are asked to do so by the Egyptians, who are entitled to determine their own fate. So long as the Egyptian military plays a constructive role in bringing about a democratic transition, the United States should also remain committed to our ongoing assistance programs for Egypt, both military and civilian.

“Since the days of Anwar Sadat, who expelled Soviet forces from Egypt and made peace with Israel, the United States and Egypt have had very close ties. This relationship is vital to our security and the security of our allies, and I intend to do everything I can to ensure it continues into the future.”

Why Everyone Will Overreact to the Next Ruling on Health Care Reform



U.S. District Judge Roger Vinson, a Reagan appointee who sits with senior status in the Northern District of Florida, is expected to rule Monday on the constitutionality of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act. There are now 26 states which have joined the lawsuit in Judge Vinson's court-- a few were added just recently-- and it is a virtual lock, based upon his comments in court last month, that the judge will strike down the core of the federal health care measure as a violation of the Commerce Clause.
When that occurs, conservative opponents of the reform will rejoice, spinning Judge Vinson's ruling as yet another indicator of the Act's ultimate demise before the United States Supreme Court. Progressives supporters of the measure, meanwhile, will fret, not just because the judge's order creates further legal dissonance about the Act (most of the federal judges who have looked at the law have declared it valid, two have not) but because the judge's language will almost certainly add fuel to the political fire raging all across the country.

Both sides will thus likely overreact to Judge Vinson's ruling -- much as both sides overreacted to last month's similar ruling by U.S. District Judge Henry Hudson in Virginia. This is inevitable, I suppose, with so many people watching these cases so closely as they make their way up to the Supreme Court. Unfortunately, however, the laser focus upon lower-court vote-counting detracts from the only judicial vote-counting that ultimately counts here. Judge Vinson could issue a virtual Tea Party manifesto Monday -- and he might -- but it wouldn't ultimately make a bit of difference in your life or mine if it doesn't earn the support of at least five Supreme Court justices.
So the most important development on this front over the past few months isn't a stray decision here or there by a conservative trial judge. It is, instead, the pointed choice made in early January by two of the Supreme Court's most conservative justices, Clarence Thomas and Antonin Scalia, tosignal to friend and foe alike where they stand on the Commerce Clause-- and almost certainly the Patient Protection Act itself. The justices chose to loudly dissent in a decision by the rest of their colleagues not to hear (and thus not to overturn) Alderman v. United States, a 9th U.S. Circuit Court ruling affirming the use of a federal statute that makes it a crime for a convicted felon to buy, own or possess body armor.
On behalf of Justice Scalia, Justice Thomas wrote: 
"The Ninth Circuit's interpretation... seems to permit Congress to regulate or ban possession of any item that has ever been offered for sale or crossed state lines. Congress arguably could outlaw 'the theft of a Hershey kiss from a corner store in Youngstown, Ohio, by a neighborhood juvenile on the basis that the candy once traveled . . . to the store from Hershey, Pennsylvania.' The Government actually conceded at oral argument in the Ninth Circuit that Congress could ban possession of french fries that have been offered for sale in interstate commerce." (Citations omitted).
In the ongoing debate over the Commerce Clause and the health care law, these are akin to fighting words. This is the advocacy rhetoric of the Tea Party. It is the partisan language of Sen. Tom Coburn (R-Okla.). It is the hyperbolic theme of the fiercest opponents of the Patient Protection Act. And coming as it does from the two justices -- unsolicited, unnecessary to resolve Alderman, unrepentant about its link to current political discourse -- the paragraph confirms to the world that no more than seven votes on the Supreme Court are still in play over the constitutionality of the federal health care measure. That this is not a surprise coming from these two jurists makes the development no less extraordinary -- and far more important than anything Judge Vinson can or will say in his looming order.
Thumbnail image credit: Fibonacci Blue/Flickr

Syrian Opposition Plans Protests Against Dictator Assad For Saturday


Mary Slosson | January 31, 2011
Executive Producer

Syrian President Bashar al-Assad (Photo Creative Commons)
Syrian President Bashar al-Assad (Photo Creative Commons)
Opposition groups in Syria have begun organizing a popular protest against incumbent President Bashar al-Assad to take place Saturday, following in the wake of mass uprisings in Tunisia, Egypt, and elsewhere across the Arab world.
The protests are being organized on social media site Facebook, and have called for mobilization in the capital Damascus as well as Aleppo and elsewhere throughout the country.
The Facebook groups are in Arabic, but CNN reportsthat:
Protest organizers want better living standards, human rights improvements and a greater voice for youth, according to the Middle East Media Research Institute, a Washington-based organization that studies and translates news accounts and social-media postings.
Al Arabiya reports that one group, called "The Syria Revolution 2011:"
Described al-Assad’s rule as dictatorship and showed torture YouTube videos of political dissident in the country.
The group also called for civil disobedience, and encouraged “all of the brave Syrian youth, from all factions and social classes and from all provinces” to “not be silent about oppression.”
Pro-Assad groups have already formed in response, with thousands having replied "attending" on each side.
President Bashar al-Assad has been in power since 2000, after he inherited rule from his father.

Mohamed ElBaradei primer: The man behind a movement


Since Egypt's upheaval began, activists and journalists looked to one man to unify the opposition. Is he doing it?

A Short Primer on Egypt Now


The following is a guest post by Noor Khan
Basic Egypt facts
Egypt has about 80 million people and is the most populated Arab country. It is the 2nd most populated African country. The per capita income is about $5500, but the income gap is very large, with the vast majority of people living on about $5/day. It is a net exporter of petroleum, but not a major one. Many Egyptians work in the Petro-states or the West and send money back for their families. The three largest sources of hard currency in Egypt are tourism, the Suez Canal, and remittances from abroad. The literacy rate is between 60% and 70%, pretty good for Africa. About 85-87% of Egyptians are Sunni Muslim and 10-12% are Coptic Christian. Egypt gets 1.3 billion in military aid from the USA.
Egypt has NEVER experienced a real democracy. Despite being technically independent since 1922, it was under British colonial control until the Free Officers “Revolution” in 1952. Since Nasser and the Free Officers were pretty popular, the time is often looked back on nostalgically, especially by the lower classes, but it was a military government. Since Nasser’s death in 1970, Egypt was ruled by Anwar Sadat until he was assassinated in 1981 and M. Hosni Mubarak since then. Upon coming to power, Mubarak instated an Emergency Law which suspends many constitutional protections and basically gives the state complete jurisdiction for anything falling under the category “security.” There is no guaranteed right to privacy, free speech, assembly, press, or even a trial. Although there are a number of members of the judiciary who have tried to maintain its independence from the state, they are regularly thwarted and often removed or worse.
The political party which controls the country is the National Democratic Party. Other parties are allowed, but kept weak; the Muslim Brotherhood is technically banned but still the biggest party in opposition. When the elections are relatively free, they carry about 20% of the votes. There are periodic “elections” for a parliament that has no real power, and Mubarak is “re-elected” regularly with more than 90% of the vote. Recently, it has been clear that he expects his son Gamal to be “elected” after him (he’s 82), although there has always been a chance that another military strongman will take over, since Gamal is not from the military. Among the major contenders are Omar Suleiman, who was just named vice president, Ahmed Shafiq, who has just been made prime minister, and Sami Annan the Army Chief of Staff (who was in the USA on Wednesday).
Why are Egyptians in the streets protesting?
First of all, they want a real democracy. No one is fooled by the “elections” that just play musical chairs with the people already in power. They want real choices. Yes, many want the choice to vote for the Muslim Brotherhood. But that has NOT been the major theme in these protests, and in fact has been less important than anyone expected. The real issue is that the people want fair and free elections with all choices on the table. They want what most Americans want here.
(Note: The Brotherhood has condemned political violence, recognizes the Constitution and is NOT a terrorist organization. It is also not out to destroy Israel, although it certainly is not interested in putting Israel or America’s desires above those of Egyptians.)
Another issue is the use of torture by the police, who are protected by the Emergency Law. It has become endemic to the point that no one expects NOT to be tortured if arrested. And the reasons for arresting you can be as simple as not moving out of the way of a police officer fast enough. People disappear and die in police custody on a regular basis, and if the “arrest” is supposedly for “political crime,” there is very little the family or even lawyers can do. It is estimated that there are close to 10,000 political prisoners in Egypt at any given time. (See “We are all Khaled Said” on Facebook for more on the issue of torture in Egypt.)
The third is corruption. It is almost impossible to get anything done in Egypt without knowing someone or bribing someone. This is at every level of society. You need to bribe government officials to run a business, get a permit for anything, avoid a trumped up fine, get or keep a public sector job, or even get a driver’s license in fewer than five visits. Education is supposedly free, but government schools are so bad that only the most desperate will send their children there. For example, the average class size of a 7th grade Arabic language class in a public school in Cairo (from my sister-in-law, who is a teacher) is about 70 students. Health care is about the same. You literally have to budget about 25% of hospital costs for an operation for “tips” so that nurses and doctors will help you. Private care is better, but no less corrupt. You want to install a new pipe? Plan on having to pay at least three different people bribes to get the paperwork to do it “legally.” Buildings literally fall down in Egypt all the time, as quality codes can’t be enforced because of corruption. The list goes on.
Connected to the corruption is the bureaucratic inefficiency. It takes hours just to pay your electric or phone bill. Getting a copy of your birth certificate will require a full day off work, trekking to multiple offices, plus the bribes. And it’s not like you can avoid the bureaucracy either, because EVERYTHING needs government pieces of paper. For my Egyptian driver’s license I needed to go to the Interior Ministry to get a stamped copy of my marriage certificate to prove I was Egyptian (because I am married to the Egyptian whose name is on my Egyptian passport, which I had) and then the Foreign Affairs Ministry to get them to translate it and then another office to get it stamped. Then I had to bribe someone to say I had driven a stick shift for the test, because my own car was an automatic. Then I was told I couldn’t put my degree on the license (occupation is listed on these things) because it was from the USA. Despite having a Fulbright to Cairo University and all the documentation from the Bi-National Commission, I was supposed to take my degree to the Ministry of Education to get it endorsed and then do another set of acrobatics. I decided it was easier to be listed as “uneducated” on the license. My sister-in-law was born on February 4, but the certificate of passing high school has a mark on it so it looks like February 14. After weeks of going between different government offices to get this fixed so that her college degree would be registered correctly, we finally gave up. We made a mark in front of the 4 on her birth certificate and enrollment paper. So now her birthdate is the 14th. It’s easier to forge than to correct a government mistake. Imagine this kind of rigmarole every time you needed to do paperwork of any kind.
The last problem is the poverty. Prices have risen over 12% in the past few months, but food has risen the fastest. Meat has gone up 23%, sugar about 30% and tomatoes even more. In a country where most of the population spends about 50% of its income on food, this has been devastating. People can’t put food on their family, as W would say. Yes, things are tough everywhere, but they are very bad in Egypt, and the government is spending billions on weapons and the security apparatus which protects them from the people more than it protects Egypt from any external threat. Plus, the fat cats in government and their “private sector” cronies are very visibly flaunting their ill-gotten gains. The gap between the rich and the overwhelming majority of poor is huge, but now the middle class is shrinking quickly – sliding down, not going up. There are thousands of luxury housing units going up all over Cairo, while the majority of the people are packed like sardines in tiny apartments with deteriorating infrastructure. “Let them eat cake” is the government’s attitude.
So who do the Egyptians want in charge?
Good question – why don’t we let them vote on it? Realistically, it will take at least a few months to arrange for free elections. Until then, Egyptians will accept a transitional government they trust to turn over power to a new elected civilian government. They might even trust the military to do it, but I don’t think so. The two most trusted people by the masses are probably Mohamad al-Baradei, the former head of the IAEA, and Amr Moussa, the head of the Arab League. Maybe another will appear. Opposition leaders such as Ayman Nour and Noman Goma’a would probably not want the job, as they would want to run for Parliament. Could elections be held fairly? I don’t know. Egypt does have some reliable figures in the judiciary, but I personally would prefer international observers. Would the Egyptian masses? Again, I don’t know. Most Egyptians I know distrust international organizations and are very leery of threats to their country’s sovereignty, perhaps for good reason.
What should the US and other governments do?
Support democracy. The people are actually quite clear. It is time for us to stop supporting dictators who we think are more reliable than a free people. And it is time we stopped thinking our foreign policy and economic concerns should be more important to other countries than their own. There is much more I could say here, but I’ll stop now.
Noor Khan is an assistant professor of history at Colgate University, with a specialty in modern Egypt.

How politicians should respond when they're the punchline


  -  
"I think it's hilarious." That's what Vice President Joe Biden told Yahoo! News in a recent interview when asked about the fake news parodies that have created tons of online traffic forThe Onion. Parodies which have included the VP getting banned for life from Dave & Busters for destroying a Whac-a-mole game, showing his tattooed arms while washing his Trans-Am on the White House driveway, showing up to President Obama's inauguration with a ponytail (see below)...
(Courtesy The Onion)
(Courtesy The Onion)
(Courtesy The Onion)
... and my personal favorite, this fake report about the Vice President taking a second job as the spokesman for Hennessy Cognac.
(The Onion via Youtube)
With a smile on his face, Biden went on to correct one thing The Onion got wrong telling the interviewer, "I saw the one of me washing a Trans-Am automobile in the driveway shirtless with tattoos all over myself and out there, by the way, I have a Corvette - a '67 Corvette, not a Trans-Am."
Sarah Palin Some thin-skinned politicians should learn from the Vice President's ability to laugh at himself... particularly when it comes to jokes as funny as these. Oh, and also able to take a joke from The Onion? The crew of NBC's TODAY Show.

In Vallejo, A Municipal Bankruptcy Means Big Sacrifices For Ordinary Workers



First Posted: 01/31/11 08:14 AM Updated: 01/31/11 12:36 PM
The American real estate boom turned Vallejo, California -- previously known for little more than the freeway that runs through it -- into a hot property market in the San Francisco Bay Area. But when the home-building stopped, so did the flow of money into municipal coffers, sending the city into bankruptcy nearly three years ago.
That was merely the beginning of sustained pain for Vallejo's municipal employees. As the community adjusts to a wrenching new budgetary reality, one no longer propelled by exploding property revenues, the burden has fallen on ordinary city workers.
David de Alba, a 45-year-old mechanic who has worked for the city for eight years, typifies this process. Vallejo has slashed its budget to get its books in order, reducing its general fund payroll by more than 100 workers, or about 30 percent, since 2007. De Alba has seen his monthly pay drop by about $1,000.
Last summer, after missing mortgage payments, he went into default. In November, he filed for personal bankruptcy. Financial troubles strained his marriage, and his wife left him, taking their teenage children with her. This month, the bank foreclosed on his house. He moved out last Friday, relinquishing his home of nearly two decades. He now plans to move to a trailer park.
De Alba puts the blame for this descent squarely on the city.
"They pretty much destroyed my life," de Alba says. "They put the whole burden on the working class guy."
Like cities across the country, Vallejo has seen its revenues wither in the wake of the recession, prompting pay cuts for municipal employees. In one regard, Vallejo's experience is unusual -- municipal bankruptcy remains rare, as it brings negotiations with employees into court proceedings. But the negotiations themselves are now commonplace: As cities like Vallejo struggle to get their fiscal houses in order, they are often doing so at the expense of their middle-class workers.

Vallejo's latest plan to emerge from bankruptcy, filed this month, illustrates a stark fact about municipal finance. If bondholders -- including banks and other financial institutions -- were to take a significant hit, that could send tremors through the bond market, raising borrowing costs for cities nationwide. This is why Vallejo and other municipal governments find themselves leaning most directly on their "unsecured creditors," those with no direct claims on assets pledged against debts. In plainest talk: They are zeroing in on ordinary workers and retirees, putting wages and benefits on the line.
De Alba and hundreds of other current and former Vallejo employees say the city owes them for the pay they were denied, when two labor contracts were rejected in court. But under the latest plan, Vallejo would compensate these workers and retirees for only a fraction of their claims. The people who make the city run -- firefighters, maintenance workers, engineers and others -- would be forced to help prop up the city's finances.
It's a bitter plan, as the city readily acknowledges. But, for now, it amounts to Vallejo's only hope to get back on its feet. The city of 120,000 has been in bankruptcy proceedings since May 2008. The legal battles, which have allowed Vallejo to restructure its obligations, have cost the city nearly $10 million and have angered the unions, as workers contend that Vallejo forced concessions they otherwise wouldn't have accepted.
"It's not a happy time," says Marc Levinson, the lead bankruptcy lawyer for the city. "What do you do? The money just doesn't appear."

A onetime Navy town tucked into a northern corner of California's Bay Area, Vallejo is most often traversed at high speed, on the drive from San Francisco to Sacramento along Interstate 80. In the 1990s and early 2000s, the local economy soared on the back of the real estate boom. From 1997 to 2000, building permits for new single-family homes increased over 10-fold, according to the city's financial statements. From 2002 to 2008, property tax assessments doubled.

But after the spectacular boom came a devastating bust. Since peaking in May 2006, home prices in Vallejo have plummeted 63.3 percent, according to data provider Zillow.com. The carnage there almost makes the national crash seem tame, as home prices nationwide have fallen 31 percent since their peak, according to the Case-Shiller 20-city index.
Vallejo's coffers buckled. Property taxes -- the city's largest source of revenue -- have dropped 33 percent since their peak, as sliding home values meant Vallejo couldn't collect as much from homeowners.
"In early 2008 the city confronted the reality that it would soon be unable to pay its bills as they became due," reads Vallejo's recent legal statement, in a passage whose straightforward language draws a striking contrast to the surrounding jargon.


Salaries froze when the bankruptcy began in mid-2008, and many city workers say they've missed two raises they otherwise would have gotten. Employees in the electrical and maintenance workers' union saw two wage cuts last year, together inflicting a 10 percent drop in pay.
"I've told my membership, don't go out and buy a new car," says Frank Caballero, 56, a senior maintenance worker who's president of the local division of the International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers. "There are things we're used to that we can't do anymore. You can't go out to dinner, you can't buy a new shirt if you want it. Everything is so tight right now."
Wages were cut further still. Previously, the city covered employees' health care. But as new labor contracts were drawn, maintenance workers and firefighters -- and retirees -- suddenly shouldered a fourth of those costs. Workers near retirement who have accrued payouts from not taking allotted sick days claim that that money, too, has been withheld.
One bad year can affect a worker for life. Pension benefits are calculated based on a worker's highest pay level, so a pay cut -- or even a missed raise -- ripples forward in time.
"If you're 26, and you're working for the city, it's not an issue, because at some point your compensation will exceed what it would have been back in 2010," says Dean Gloster, the lawyer representing the electrical workers' and firefighters' unions. "But if you're at retirement age, and you have a bad back, and you can't carry fire hoses up stairs anymore, and this is it for you, well, it's pretty tough."
Workers, retirees and other "unsecured creditors" claim the city owes them about $262 million. Under the new plan, these people could make as little as five cents on every dollar.
For de Alba, the mechanic, his annual pay has dropped from just over $70,000 to about $60,000, he says. The city owes him about $18,000 for the compensation he's missed since the bankruptcy began, he says, but he predicts he'll get less than $1,800. Caballero, the union president, is similarly pessimistic.
"They owe us this, but to tell you the truth, I don't see us collecting any of this from the city," Caballero says. "We're just trying to scramble to see what else we can do."
Vallejo's budget squeeze made de Alba fall behind on his mortgage. Monthly, his pay dropped from $5,800 to about $4,800. His mortgage, he says, was $2,300. He stopped paying the mortgage bills early last year. By summer, he was in default.
Characteristic of the real estate slump, the value of de Alba's home has fallen below the value of the loan. The house is now worth $130,000, he estimates. His mortgage, he says, was $380,000. As home prices continue to fall nationally -- and as foreclosures push prices down still further, in a punishing feedback loop -- more homeowners like de Alba are falling underwater.
After a series of missed payments, the bank sent de Alba a default notice last summer. He was granted a temporary mortgage modification, but the payments failed to stay at a manageable level. Facing growing obligations he couldn't meet, de Alba filed for personal bankruptcy in November. The foreclosure process, already underway, was delayed.
Financial stress, meanwhile, had soured his relationship with his wife. As the couple confronted the prospect of losing the home where they had raised five children and had lived for 18 years -- and which had once belonged to de Alba's mother-in-law -- their marriage fell apart.
"The financial strain just gave us more to argue about," de Alba says. "We already had issues going on, but it never helps when you have money problems."
Last week, with the bank repossession imminent, de Alba prepared to leave his home. He packed up what belongings he would take with him, put a few things in storage, gave some to his brother and threw the rest in the trash.
Throughout the house, possessions were in boxes. In the bedroom he once shared with his wife, pictures of his kids in sports uniforms -- baseball, softball, football -- once hung on the walls. Now, the walls were bare.
"It's a sad thing," de Alba says. "Rooms are empty where there used to be so much of our stuff."
At this point, de Alba is hoping to land a different job at the nearby city of Napa, doing the same work he does now. The new job would pay him more, about what he was previously making in Vallejo, he says. He's optimistic about his chances of getting hired.
Still, the Vallejo bankruptcy has filled him with a resentment that seems unlikely to go away soon.
"I heard so many times through this bankruptcy, 'You guys are lucky to have jobs right now,'" he says. "And you know, I'm not lucky to have a job. I tested for this job, I beat 80 other people out to get this job. I'm not lucky. I prepared myself to have a good job. But they didn't care about that."