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Tuesday, July 17, 2012


Here Comes the Made-in-China Cadillac

By Howard Richman & Raymond Richman
May 9, 2012
It's déjà vu all over again!  GM again caves to Chinese pressure.  In September it was the electric car.  In April it was the Cadillac.
The Chinese government made its latest move in December.  That's when The Guardian reported that the Chinese government raised its already high 25% tariff upon American-made vehicles, concerned that increasing numbers of big-engine cars were being purchased by Chinese consumers:
General Motors faces the greatest impact, almost 22% extra on some sports utility vehicles (SUVs) and other cars with engine capacities above 2.5 litres. Chrysler faces a 15% penalty, while a 2% levy will be imposed on BMW, whose US plants make many of the cars it exports to China.
Existing taxes and duties already push up the cost of US imports by 25%, and the new levies make it even more expensive for Chinese consumers to buy American.
Now we learn what they were after.  In a May 2 Huffington Post commentary ("Commies in Cadillacs: GM Turns Chinese"), economists Peter Navarro and Greg Autrey reported that GM will build its luxury cars in China instead of exporting them to China.  They began:
General Motors announced this week that it will start building the Cadillac XTS, CTS and ATX in China in an attempt to keep up with the insatiable demand for luxury consumption by that nation's nominally Marxist elite. It seems that Communist Party princelings and their crony capitalist clients just can't get enough Caddies, not to mention the BMWs, Ferraris and Lamborghinis.
This will be a joint venture with SAIC, the company that owns 51% of GM's China business.  The announcement of the new factories was made by the vice president of GM China at a Beijing auto show on April 23.  Valuewalk.com reports:
In 2012, GM will build the new 2013 Cadillac XTS sedan in China, followed by the ELR luxury electric coupe.
Currently, China is only selling one model, the large-length luxury sedan, the Cadillac SLS; it is built in the country while it imports the CTS, SRX crossover and Escalade from U.S. and Mexico plants, reported The Detroit News.
Nine months ago, the same scenario played out even more quickly.  On September 16, the Wall Street Journal reported ("Road Gets Bumpy for GM in China") that the Chinese government was pressuring GM to give away its proprietary electric car technology.  At that point, GM was refusing.  Here's a selection:
GM would like to bring its Volt electric car into China. But Chief Executive Dan Akerson said he refuses to share electric-car technology in exchange for hefty consumer rebates from the Chinese government that would juice sales of the vehicle.
Just one week later, on September 22, the NY Times reported ("GM to develop electric cars with Chinese automaker") that GM had caved to the Chinese government demand:
HONG KONG: General Motors said Tuesday that it would develop electric cars in China through a joint venture with a Chinese automaker [SAIC], and would transfer battery and other electric car technology to the venture.
As a condition for doing business in China, the Chinese government requires that GM share its made-in-America technologies with SAIC, which is both its Chinese partner and its competitor.  Back in 2009, Bloomberg reported ("GM Set for 'Harder Life' in China as Partner SAIC Adds Models") that SAIC is already using GM's technology to produce cars for the Chinese market, outside its partnership with GM.  In February, SAIC got GM's electric car technology.  In April, SAIC got GM's Cadillac technology.
The left pretends that evil corporations owned by wealthy Americans build factories in China in order to avoid paying higher U.S. wages.  But this is Obama's car company we are talking about.  GM (Government Motors), the company that Obama saved from having to pay its pension benefits, the company that Obama saved from being owned by its bondholders, the company that Obama saved from break-up into its constituent parts, the company that Obama claims as his biggest accomplishment.  Here it is building  Cadillac factories in China instead of exporting Cadillacs from the United States to China.  Why?
The reason is simple.  Manufacturers know that, under the current system, they can produce in China and sell to the United States, but they will not be allowed to produce in the United States and sell to China -- all because the Obama administration does not have the intelligence or will to invoke the WTO rule for trade-deficit countries invoked by President Nixon on August 15, 1971, when he imposed an across-the-board 10% tariff which balanced U.S. trade by 1973.
If President Obama invoked Nixon's WTO rule, he could demand trade reciprocity (we buy your products; you buy ours).  He could impose a trade-balancing scaled tariff upon imports from all the countries with which the U.S. has a trade deficit.  Such a tariff would go up when the U.S. trade deficit with a country goes up, go down when it goes down, and disappear when trade with that country approaches balance.
Then GM would be able to produce its Cadillacs and Volts in America and export them to China.  It could preserve its inventions for its own use, instead of having to give them to its Chinese competitor.  Not only that, but with increased manufacturing investment, the U.S. economy could start growing rapidly again.
On May 3 and 4, Obama's Secretary of State Clinton and Treasury Secretary Geithner traveled to Beijing to beg for a more level playing field for American trade and investment.  (Even sacrificing a Chinese dissident, who sought refuge in our embassy, in order to show our goodwill to China!)
In his closing remarks, Geithner pretended that our economic trade relationship with China is improving.  He said:
We have made significant progress on the economic front since early 2009. U.S. exports have almost doubled. The Chinese currency has appreciated significantly. China's trade surplus has fallen substantially.
It is true, as Geithner claims, that U.S. exports to China have risen, but U.S. imports from China have risen much more rapidly.  For the past 25 consecutive months, U.S. net exports (exports minus imports) of goods with China have fallen steadily, subtracting more and more from U.S. GDP and income.  Even in February, when China ran a temporary trade deficit with the rest of the world, United States net exports to China declined, as shown in the graph below:


Although China is reducing its overall trade surpluses, it is increasing its trade surpluses with the United States.  Is this coincidence or deliberate Chinese policy?  If the latter, it raises the possibility -- nay, the probability -- that China is using trade to acquire economic and military power for itself and to bring down the economic power of the United States.
But Geithner seems oblivious to this possibility.  In his closing remarks, he praises China for reducing its trade surpluses with the rest of the world, never once mentioning that China is increasing its trade surpluses with the United States.  He actually appears to be pleased with how well things are going.
Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney plans to change our trade relationship with China.  As we reported after reading his 2010 book ("Romney's Theory about Why Companies and Countries Decline"), he is intent upon meeting the economic and political challenges that the United States faces from its competitors.  The following statement on his website summarizes Romney's current trade position regarding China:
China presents a broad set of problems that cry out urgently for solutions. It is time to end the Obama administration's acquiescence to the one-way arrangements the Chinese have come to enjoy. We need a fresh and fearless approach to that trade relationship. Our first priority must be to put on the table all unilateral actions within our power to ensure that the Chinese adhere to existing agreements. Anyone with business experience knows that you can succeed in a negotiation only if you are willing to walk away. If we want the Chinese to play by the rules, we must be willing to say "no more" to a relationship that too often benefits them and harms us.
Under President Obama, our trade relationship with China has deteriorated steadily.  American manufacturers know that, with Obama as president, they can produce in China and sell to the United States, but they will not be allowed to produce in the United States and sell to China.  Romney will demand at least some reciprocity from China.  He could not do worse than Obama.
The authors maintain a blog at www.idealtaxes.com and co-authored the 2008 book Trading Away Our Future: How to Fix Our Government-Driven Trade Deficits and Faulty Tax System Before it's Too Late, published by Ideal Taxes Association.

Lawmakers respond to Supreme Court Healthcare Ruling




From silly thesis to silly film

  -  

Remember Dinesh D'Souza? He's the right-wing writer who wrote a strange book attacking President Obama for trying to carry out an "anti-colonial" agenda he inherited from his Kenyan father. It's a thesis as silly as it is ugly, based on bizarre assertions about the president having the mindset of an African "Luo tribesman."
The Weekly Standard criticized it for "misstatements of fact, leaps in logic, and pointlessly elaborate argumentation." When D'Souza's thesis first appeared as a piece in Forbes, one of the magazine's own columnists blasted D'Souza's "intellectual goofiness," "factual problems," and "unsubstantiated ideological accusations." The Columbia Journalism Review called D'Souza's piece "a fact-twisting, error-laden piece of paranoia" and a "singularly disgusting work."
And of today, the thesis is a movie. No, seriously. Here's the "trailer," which I assure you is not a parody.
The estimable Mariah Blake, my former colleague at the Washington Monthly, reported forSalon this week on how D'Souza's harangue found its way to filmmakers, boosted in part by millions of dollars he received from conservative benefactors, including TD Ameritrade founder Joe Ricketts.
As for the smear itself, the thesis is so deeply ridiculous, I'm not sure whether to be offended by the disgusting attack or to feel sorry for those foolish enough to be associated with such transparent nonsense.

Regardless, I can only assume the "movie" will do quite well -- it was produced by the maker of a 2008 anti-evolution documentary that ranks among the highest-grossing documentaries of all time.

Report slams Penn State's 'total disregard' in Sandusky case

Senior Penn State administrators exhibited a "total disregard for the safety and welfare'' of the children who were sexually abused by former Penn State University assistant football coach Jerry Sandusky, according to an internal investigation of the university.
  • Louis Freeh holds a press conference in Philadelphia regarding the investigation of Penn State over how it handled the Jerry Sandusky sex abuse case.
    Eileen Blass, USA TODAY
    Louis Freeh holds a press conference in Philadelphia regarding the investigation of Penn State over how it handled the Jerry Sandusky sex abuse case.

Eileen Blass, USA TODAY

Louis Freeh holds a press conference in Philadelphia regarding the investigation of Penn State over how it handled the Jerry Sandusky sex abuse case.
"The most powerful men at Penn State failed to take any steps for 14 years to protect the children who Sandusky victimized,'' the investigation concluded.
It cited former Penn State University president Graham Spanier, former vice president Gary Schultz, former head football coach Joe Paterno and Athletic Director Tim Curley, now on leave, as never demonstrating "through actions or words, any concern for the safety and well-being of Sandusky's victims until after Sandusky's arrest."
The 267-page report by former FBI director Louis Freehcomes less than three weeks after Sandusky was convicted of 45 counts of child sexual abuse involving 10 victims during a span of 15 years. Sandusky remains in a central Pennsylvania county jail awaiting formal sentencing.
At a press conference in Philadelphia after the report was released Freeh said Paterno, who died in January of cancer, could have stopped the abuse "if he so wished."
"We have a great deal of respect for Mr. Paterno and condolences for his family on the loss, it's a person with a terrific legacy, a great legacy, who brought huge value not just to the university but the program," Freeh said. "He, as someone once said, made perhaps the worst mistake of his life. But we're not singling him out. We're putting him in a category of four other people who we would say are the major leaders of Penn State."
"None of them ever spoke to Sandusky about his conduct," Freeh said. "Nothing was done and Sandusky was allowed to continue with impunity. … None of these four men took responsible action."
He also said the university trustees needed to take responsibility.

The Freeh file

By Greg Toppo, USA TODAY

Louis J. Freeh, 62, was born in Jersey City. He graduated from Rutgers College in 1971, earning a law degree from Rutgers Law School and a Master’s of Law degree from New York University.

A onetime first lieutenant in the U.S. Army Reserve, Freeh first worked for the FBI as a special agent in 1975, first in New York, then at the bureau’s Washington headquarters. He left the FBI in 1981 to work as a federal prosecutor in New York.

In 1985, Freeh was lead prosecutor, under U.S. Attorney Rudy Giuliani, in the “Pizza Connection” case, which broke up a $1.6 billion international heroin, money-laundering and organized crime ring that operated out of pizzerias in the Northeast and Midwest. Prosecutors said the ring was controlled by the Sicilian Mafia and a faction of its American counterpart, La Cosa Nostra. A 17-month trial ended in 1987 with 16 convictions.

Four years later, President George Bush appointed Freeh as a U.S. District Court judge for the Southern District of New York. In 1993, President Bill Clinton nominated him to be FBI director.

During his tenure, Freeh clashed with Attorney General Janet Reno over the bureau’s investigations of the deadly standoff at Waco, Texas, in 1993 and the FBI’s investigation of Los Alamos scientist Wen Ho Lee in 1999.

In 1996, FBI agents arrested “Unabomber” Theodore Kaczynski after The New York Times and Washington Post agreed to publish a 35,000-word diatribe by Kaczynski at Freeh and Reno’s recommendation. Kaczynski’s brother David recognized the writing style and led police to Kaczynski’s Montana cabin.

Freeh led the bureau until 2001 and was among the longest-serving directors in its 104-year history.

Now a private attorney, he runs Freeh Group International Solutions, a risk management firm. His law firm, Freeh Sporkin & Sullivan, investigated the Sandusky case.

According to the Embassy of Italy, Freeh acquired Italian citizenship in 2009.

Contributing: Associated Press
"The board failed in its oversight," he said. "They did not create an atmosphere where the personnel and the senior officials were accountable to the board."
Freeh said a 2000 incident, in which Sandusky's abuse of a young child in a football locker room was witnessed by a university janitor, represented a culture of silence that prevailed at Penn State to avoid bad publicity.
"What I found to be extremely telling and critical in deciding not just what I thought recommendations should be, is the janitors," Freeh said. "These are the employees of Penn State who clean and maintain the locker rooms in the Lasch building where young boys are being raped. They witness, what I think in the report is probably the most horrific rape that's described. And what do they do? They panic. The janitor who observes it says it's the worst thing he ever saw. He's a Korean war veteran. He said he's never seen anything like that. 'It makes me sick.' He spoke to the other janitors. They were awed and shocked by it. But, what did they do? They said they can't report this cause they'd be fired. They knew who Sandusky was."
The report said "they were afraid to take on the football program. They said the university would circle around it. It was like going against the president of the United States. If that's the culture on the bottom, God help the culture at the top."
Paterno's family issued a written statement Thursday, saying the report was being reviewed. But the statement cautioned against "replaying of events from the last 15 years or so in a way that makes it look obvious what everyone must have known and should have done.''
"The idea that any sane, responsible adult would knowingly cover up for a child predator is impossible to accept,'' the family said. "The far more realistic conclusion is that many people didn't fully understand what was happening and underestimated or misinterpreted events.
"It can be argued that Joe Paterno should have gone further," the statement said. "He should have pushed his superiors to see that they were doing their jobs. We accept this criticism."
The Freeh Report said a "critical written correspondence'' uncovered earlier this year contained evidence of a proposed plan to report a 2001 incident to law enforcement officials involving Sandusky and a young boy in a university shower room that was witnessed by football assistant coach Michael McQueary.
"After Mr. Curley consulted with Mr. Paterno, however, they changed the plan and decided not to make a report to the authorities,'' the report said.
The report said Curley recommended a different course of action to Spanier and Schultz: they would offer Sandusky "professional help;" assist him in informing "his organization" (the Second Mile) about the allegation; and, if Sandusky was "cooperative," not inform the Department of Public Welfare of the allegation.
"Their failure to protect the … child victim, or make attempts to identify him, created a dangerous situation for other unknown, unsuspecting young boys who were lured to the Penn State campus and football games by Sandusky and victimized repeatedly by him," the report said.
"Further,'' the report said, "they exposed this child to additional harm by alerting Sandusky, who was the only one who knew the child's identity, about what McQueary saw in the shower on the night of February 9, 2001."
Citing witness statements and other evidence, the university officials acted "in order to avoid the consequences of bad publicity.''
"The most powerful leaders at Penn State University - Spanier, Schultz, Paterno and Curley - repeatedly concealed critical facts relating to Sandusky's child abuse from the authorities, the Board of Trustees, Penn State community, and the public at large," the report said.
"Although concern to treat the child abuser humanely was expressly stated, no such sentiments were ever expressed by them for Sandusky's victims,'' the investigation concluded.
The report described Spanier, Paterno, Curley and Schultz as wielding such power at the university that they went "unchecked'' by Penn State's board of trustees and "empowered Sandusky to attract potential victims to the campus.''
"Indeed that continued access provided Sandusky with the very currency that enabled him to attract his victims,'' the report said. "Some coaches, administrators and football program staff members ignored red flag of Sandusky's behaviors and no one warned the public about him.''
Penn State immediately released a statement that said officials are "currently reviewing (Freeh's) findings and recommendations. We expect a comprehensive analysis of our policies, procedures and controls related to identifying and reporting crimes and misconduct, including failures or gaps that may have allowed alleged misconduct to go undetected or unreported."
At a press conference Thursday afternoon Penn State's board of trustees and the university's president addressed the investigation and talked about how the school would implement recommendations in the report.
Chairman Karen Peetz said the board "accepts full responsibility for the failures that occurred. The board, in cooperation with the administration, will take every action to ensure an event like this never happens again."
Penn State President Rodney Erickson said he was "horrified" when he learned of the Sandusky allegations last year.
"With today's report we can continue the process of addressing the most painful chapter in the university's history," he said. "We must work together as we begin picking up the pieces and rebuilding our community."
The review, which focused on how top Penn State administration officials dealt with Sandusky during the time of the abuse and following a 2001 report of the former coach's abuse of a young boy in a university football locker room, is likely to have immediate implications on a continuing state grand jury investigation and the pending perjury trial of Curley and Schultz.
The two administrators, who have denied any wrongdoing, are charged with lying to the grand jury about a report of the 2001 incident that was related to them by McQueary.
Freeh's report said that "evidence shows'' that all four men — Spanier, Paterno, Curley and Schultz — also knew about a 1998 criminal investigation of Sandusky relating to suspected sexual misconduct with a young boy in a Penn State football locker room shower. The boy's mother had notified police.
"Again, they showed no concern about that victim,'' the report said. "The evidence shows that Mr. Paterno was made aware of the 1998 investigation of Sandusky, followed it closely, but failed to take any action, even though Sandusky had been a key member of his coaching staff for almost 30 years, and had an office just steps away from Mr. Paterno's."
"At the very least," the report said. "Mr. Paterno could have alerted the entire football staff, in order to prevent Sandusky from bringing another child" into the building where Sandusky abused several children.
Spanier, Schultz, Paterno and Curley also "failed to alert the Board of Trustees about the 1998 investigation or take any further action against Mr. Sandusky,'' the report said.
None of the officials, the report found, even confronted Sandusky about his conduct.
"In short, nothing was done and Sandusky was allowed to continue with impunity,'' the report said.
McQueary, a key prosecution witness in the Sandusky criminal trial, said he told the administrators and head football coach Paterno that Sandusky was engaged in "extremely sexual" conduct with a boy, who looked to be as young as 10. The boy has never been found.
Curley and Schultz told the grand jury that McQueary's report did not include an account of sexual activity.
The incident was at the heart of the university's decision, following Sandusky's November arrest, to remove Spanier from his post and fire Paterno, a college football legend who had directed the program for nearly a half century.
The report also revealed:
• After a story in the Patriot News newspaper reporting that Shultz, Paterno and Curley were among those appearing before the grand jury, a Penn State trustee e-mailed Spanier and asked if this is something the board should be briefed about. Spanier told the trustee that "we are only on the periphery of this."
•One trustee said that Spanier may have been "left to float too freely by himself" because he felt he could fix anything. Other trustees expressed that Spanier "filtered" issues in the best light of the desired outcome; showed trustees "rainbows" but not "rusty nails" and "scripted" or "baked" issues leaving no room to debate.
•Spanier on July 6 told investigators he made no effort to limit Sandusky's access to Penn State, and that he was unaware that Sandusky continued to be on campus and have access to children sleeping in campus dorms. Yet Spanier was "very aggressive" in an unrelated case in which he banned from campus a sports agent who had purchased $400 worth of clothing for a Penn State football player before the 1997 Citrus Bowl.
•While Penn State's Board of Trustees requested the special investigation, Freeh said he "took the unusual step of not providing any draft of the report" to the trustees. Members received it at "the same time and in the same manner as everyone else," he said.
•Investigators wanted to interview Sandusky but he didn't want to talk. The assistant district attorney who declined the prosecution in 1998 also refused to speak with investigators.
Freeh's report could have profound consequences for Spanier and the legacy of Paterno, who died in January shortly after being diagnosed with lung cancer.
Neither man was charged when the initial criminal case was filed last fall, but Spanier's attorneys and Paterno's family — in advance of Freeh's report — had issued strong statements claiming they did not attempt to cover for Sandusky. The statements referred to a recent CNN report, citing e-mails obtained by Freeh's investigation, which suggest that Spanier was made aware of the 2001 incident involving Sandusky and that a decision was made not to notify authorities after a reported consultation with Paterno.
"At no time in the more than 16 years of his presidency at Penn State was Dr. Spanier told of an incident involving Jerry Sandusky that described child abuse, sexual misconduct or criminality of any kind," Spanier attorneys Peter Vaira and Elizabeth Ainslie said earlier this week. "Selected leaks, without the full context, are distorting the public record and creating a false picture.''
In a separate statement earlier this week, Paterno's family said that the coach "did not cover up for Jerry Sandusky."
"Joe Paterno did not know that Jerry Sandusky was a pedophile," the family said. "Joe Paterno did not act in any way to prevent a proper investigation of Jerry Sandusky. To claim otherwise is a distortion of the truth."
On Thursday Bob Williams, vice president of communications for the NCAA, issued a statement that said: "Like everyone else, we are reviewing the final report for the first time today. As President Emmert wrote in his Nov. 17th letter to Penn State President Rodney Erickson and reiterated this week, the university has four key questions, concerning compliance with institutional control and ethics policies, to which it now needs to respond. Penn State's response to the letter will inform our next steps, including whether or not to take further action. We expect Penn State's continued cooperation in our examination of these issues."
Freeh said Penn State "failed to implement" the provision of a 1990 federal law that requires the collecting and reporting of the crimes such as Sandusky committed on campus in 2001.
The U.S. Department of Education launched a review late November to examine whether Penn State violated federal reporting and response requirements related to crimes committed on campus. Since then, Pent State has hired an official to coordinate and oversee programs that ensure overall compliance.
On Wednesday, Education Department Press Secretary Justin Hamilton declined to address the report but he said the department will "work with all relevant campus officials and law enforcement personnel to determine whether or not there was a violation of theClery Act. Beyond that, our investigation is ongoing and we have no more information to add at this time."
Beyond the potential legal and personal ramifications, the Freeh Report also could represent more financial liability for the university which is bracing for a wave of civil lawsuits from attorneys representing Sandusky's eight known victims who testified at the former coach's trial.
Immediately following the Sandusky guilty verdicts, Penn State issued a statement indicating its willingness to provide compensation for the victims. But attorneys representing at least two of the victims said they were planning legal action, regardless, but only after reviewing the Freeh Report.
"The moment the verdict was announced against Sandusky, the landscape of this scandal shifted toward a new focus on Penn State," said attorney Tom Kline, who represents one of Sandusky's victims.
"There is no doubt that we are going to file a claim against Penn State," Kline said. "Jerry Sandusky may have been the perpetrator, but Penn State was his enabler."
Wes Oliver, a Widener University law professor who has been closely monitoring the case, said it is in Penn State's "best interest to attempt to resolve the lingering matters quickly."
"The verdicts were so overwhelming against Sandusky," Oliver said, "that it suggests there shouldn't have been any doubt early on" that Sandusky represented a threat to children.
"It could take years to resolve these claims, but it is in everyone's best interest to settle these differences quickly," he said.
On Thursday Penn State freshman Mary Krupa downloaded the Freeh Report while sitting on campus at the HUB-Robeson Center, bracing herself for the worst but hoping that the information will help the Penn State community move forward.
"I wish I could get into their heads," Krupa said of university officials who ignored the abuse. "I just don't know what they were thinking to not report this. I just really hope the world does not think their actions represent us, the students."
Contributing: Carolyn Pesce, Mary Beth Marklein, Eric Prisbell, Jessica Tully and Kelly Whiteside.

Retail sales down three months in a row: why economy is cooling

Behind the economic gloom that has seen retail activity decline for three straight months are a weak job market, high debt loads, even fears of the looming 'fiscal cliff.'

By , Staff writer / July 16, 2012
A shopper is seen through a window on display at a Lowe's store in Atlanta in this June 19 file photo. Americans cut their spending at retail businesses for a third straight month, as retail sales fell 0.5 percent in June from May, the Commerce Department reported on July 16.
David Goldman/AP
Enlarge
US shoppers spent less at retail stores in June for the third straight month, a sign of the economic doldrums weighing on the job market – and on voters as they prepare to cast ballots in a presidential election this fall.

Overall, retail sales fell 0.5 percent in June compared with the prior month, the Census Bureau reported Monday. Weakness was visible across the board, from auto sales to building supplies and department stores.
Taking the past three months together, second-quarter retail sales declined by 0.2 percent compared with the first three months of the year.
In a normal economic recovery, growth in spending by consumers provides fuel for employers to add jobs. And as people see more jobs being created, they feel more confident to spend. That "virtuous cycle" of progress has been operating at only a tepid pace since 2009.
The recent backsliding on the retail front comes just asPresident Obama and Republican challenger Mitt Romney have been ramping up their campaigns. If the cooling trend persists, that would make the electoral road tougher for Mr. Obama and boost Mr. Romney’s pitch that it's time for turnover at the White House.
The grim retail sales have coincided with a slack period for job creation. The Labor Department's latest employment report, released July 6, marked the third straight month in which the economy added fewer than 100,000 new jobs.
What's going on?
Consumer spending has been held back in part by high debt loads, slow wage growth, and worries by many families about job security. A disappointing stock market, gyrating in part on concerns about economies overseas such as in Europe and China, hasn't helped.
Those headwinds come alongside some positive developments. Gas prices have eased, and the housing market has shown signs of stabilizing.
But a widely watched index of consumer confidence from the Conference Board has also sagged, in a sign that Americans are less optimistic about the future.
One factor, some economists say, may be the looming expiration of tax cuts currently scheduled for the end of the year. Congress may find a way to extend many of the tax breaks after the election, but between now and then the worry is that consumers may base their decisions around the possibility that they'll soon have less money to spend.
This so-called "fiscal cliff" of expiring tax breaks include both Bush-era income tax rates and a payroll-tax reduction, among others.
"While the retail industry remains confident in an incremental recovery, today’s statistics should concern every policymaker in Washington, and compel them to revisit burdensome regulations and job-killing tax increases set to take effect early next year,” Matthew Shay, president of the National Retail Federation, said in a statement Monday.
Despite the tough economic climate, many forecasters expect the US will avoid falling into recession this year. One prominent forecasting firm, MacroEconomic Advisers, predicts the nation's gross domestic product will grow at a 2.4 percent annual pace during the third quarter.
The firm Capital Economics cites the debt crisis in Europe and the fiscal cliff as risks that weigh on US consumers. But economist John Higgins also cites reasons for guarded optimism – including the way a decline in the oil prices acts as a boost to inflation-adjusted incomes.

Monday, July 16, 2012

NY bus driver catches girl, 7, in three-story plunge


View more videos at: http://nbcnewyork.com.



Dramatic video captured a seven-year-old falling from a third-story window and being caught by a neighbor. NBC's Katy Tur reports.
A city bus driver says he was thinking of his own young daughter when he rushed to catch a 7-year-old girl plunging three stories from a New York building Monday – an action caught on video.


View more videos at: http://nbcnewyork.com.

"Please let me catch her, please let me catch her," Stephen St. Bernard, 52, recalled thinking. "That's all I could say. Let me catch the little baby."
"I think about my daughter, and you know, she's a little kid," he said.
St. Bernard, an MTA bus driver of 10 years, was returning home to Coney Island from his job at about 2 p.m. when he heard screams coming from a building courtyard.
He rushed toward the commotion and saw a girl standing on top of a third-floor window air conditioning unit. He immediately ran underneath the window.
She just stood up there teetering, teetering," he said.

Amateur video shows St. Bernard shouting up to the girl, trying to talk the girl into going back into her apartment. Suddenly, the girl falls, eliciting horrified screams from neighbors.
But St. Bernard catches her in his arms, stumbling slightly forward to the ground with the girl still firmly in his grasp.
"I picked her up and carried her, and I was holding her, rubbing her, and she just more or less kept looking around," he told NBC 4 New York. "She never closed her eyes, she didn't lose consciousness."
The girl was not wearing pants, and St. Bernard wrapped her in his MTA uniform shirt as he waited for paramedics to arrive.
She was taken to Coney Island Hospital with very minor injuries.
"He's my hero," said the girl's aunt, Monique Harding. "He definitely did our family a favor today."
Police sources said the girl has autism. Her mother was inside the apartment watching her other child and did not see the girl standing outside on the A/C, the sources said.
St. Bernard sustained a torn tendon in his shoulder but he is expected to be OK.
The girl's mother did not want to speak with reporters Monday.